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Tim E

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After researching analogs that match up closely to current sea-surface-temperature anomalies (as well as surface temperature and precipitation anomalies experienced from December through February), history suggests that drought-relief may be slow to achieve across the Mid-Atlantic over the next three calendar months (April through June).  Unless a late-spring Nor'easter impacts the Washington, D.C. Region between now and mid-April with heavy rainfall, warmer than average temperatures would only further exacerbate the ongoing drought. 

Temperature Anomalies based on analog package I chose:


Precipitation Anomalies based on analog package I chose:


Full Details Here:  https://dcstorms.com/2017/03/19/capital-weather-washington-dc-area-spring-2017-forecast/


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  • 2 months later...
On 3/21/2017 at 9:20 AM, RodneyS said:

AccuWeather's long-range forecast is currently showing moderate rain for DC in April, but heavy rain (more than 7 inches) in May.  

Have to tip my hat to AccuWeather, as their rain forecast from more than two months ago held up pretty well, coming in at 5.55 inches at DCA in May.    

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