AlexD1990 Posted February 11, 2025 Share Posted February 11, 2025 Heaviest snow I have seen outside of 2010 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 11, 2025 Share Posted February 11, 2025 Larger flakes now, still heavy snow, around 4", dp down to 28.8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 11, 2025 Share Posted February 11, 2025 Mixing with sleet again. Still coming down pretty heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 11, 2025 Share Posted February 11, 2025 approaching 5 in. no mix yet still steady 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 Mostly heavy sleet at this point. Still a few aggregates mixing in and some small needles and plates from the relatively deep cold layer underneath the warm nose. 4.9" measured. Compaction from the sleet layer getting significant. I know we're still dealing with this storm until tomorrow morning but it does look like we'll get another shot around the 20th. Titanic Greenland block/-AO should push in a big outbreak of cold air after this weekend and set up a several-day-long window for a system to slide into a favorable waveguide as the block gradually weakens. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 18 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Mostly heavy sleet at this point. Still a few aggregates mixing in and some small needles and plates from the relatively deep cold layer underneath the warm nose. 4.9" measured. Compaction from the sleet layer getting significant. I know we're still dealing with this storm until tomorrow morning but it does look like we'll get another shot around the 20th. Titanic Greenland block/-AO should push in a big outbreak of cold air after this weekend and set up a several-day-long window for a system to slide into a favorable waveguide as the block gradually weakens. Talk dirty to me. This is a fantastic winter. Snowing and we're already tracking the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 6.5" and that might be lowballing a bit, 29.8, still all snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 Mixing line has stalled for now just to my north. Snow attempting to mix back in. Have just been piling on a bunch of sleet for a few hours. About .6 of that on top of 4.5" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 35 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Mixing line has stalled for now just to my north. Snow attempting to mix back in. Have just been piling on a bunch of sleet for a few hours. About .6 of that on top of 4.5" of snow. Looks like the sleet extends across the Bay to Cambridge now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 Did not go out and measure but looks like 7 to 8" now, 30.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 About 6 near Rehoboth 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 8.0" on the nose 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 9.0" snow total, 22.75 for the year 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 12, 2025 Author Share Posted February 12, 2025 9.1" storm total, and exactly 23" for the year, so I'm climo+ now. The next goal will be exceeding the 28.3" seasonal total in 2015-16 (the snowiest winter IMBY since I moved down here). Congrats to all in this thread; this has been our year for once! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 On to the next one! It's nice to even be able to still be tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 7 hours ago, SnowtoRain said: 9.0" snow total, 22.75 for the year Looking like Leonardtown-->Easton--> Sussex jackpotted in with a 9-11" band (just outside the mixing line). I thought the max amount over here in SoMD would be about 20mi further north, but very close to the final max band! Perhaps surprising a bit were the 7+ totals all the way down to Pt. Lookout. That initial intense shove of f-gen forcing dropped some 2"/hr rates there with the first band. Personally I ended around 6.5" with about 1.25" of sleet included in there. VERY dense snowpack. Probably 4 or 5:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 12, 2025 Share Posted February 12, 2025 from the Southeastern forum. Lets not sleep on next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 20 hours ago, Lowershoresadness said: from the Southeastern forum. Lets not sleep on next week Most guidance has come around to a slider/Hatteras track. Still some wiggle room, but the "waveguide" looks good. Hard to be upset at the general setup 6-7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 That ICON track would be #1 storm of all time for everyone in this thread i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 yea that would be the biggest storm in the bury history. That's not gonna happen. There is a reason a storm like that is once every 100 years. Can it happen? anything can happen but I'd say chances are like 2% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 save this for posterity 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 annnd if it does happen I am buying each of you a bottle of Cristal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Notable that every single piece of guidance today has an event at D6-D7 and the spread is unusually small for this distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Just now, csnavywx said: Notable that every single piece of guidance today has an event at D6-D7 and the spread is unusually small for this distance. Definitely impressive agreement for this lead time. Should be a much colder storm than yesterday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 5 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Notable that every single piece of guidance today has an event at D6-D7 and the spread is unusually small for this distance. what are we looking for upstairs to max our totals and what could cause up problems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 3 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Definitely impressive agreement for this lead time. Should be a much colder storm than yesterday too. Yep. Having it come in just 2-3 days behind this weekend's system is going to help quite a bit. Bulk of the CAA is on Monday, so only a short time for airmass modification before this one arrives. This weekend's system also doesn't entirely scour the Gulf either, leaving some room for return flow to tap in some moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 29 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Yep. Having it come in just 2-3 days behind this weekend's system is going to help quite a bit. Bulk of the CAA is on Monday, so only a short time for airmass modification before this one arrives. This weekend's system also doesn't entirely scour the Gulf either, leaving some room for return flow to tap in some moisture. I thought this upcoming storm was progged for Tuesday Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 2 minutes ago, Lowershoresadness said: what are we looking for upstairs to max our totals and what could cause up problems? Wave timing and phasing, basically. A big dog will require the southern stream and northern stream to have a well-timed phase. Even a partial phase can produce decent totals here, so we don't need it to be perfect. The advantage this go-around is that both players are already on the board and are fairly large-scale (one is a large vort/TPV over the Husdon Bay and the other is a large system south of the Aleutians), so it's unlikely this is some hallucination. Most of the volatility is from the vort streamer from the Hudson Bay TPV -- basically the energy that gets left behind underneath the block that's breaking down. If the southern stream is too slow or the PV streamer is too far west or doesn't materialize to the strength that is currently progged, then those could cause some fail modes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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