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If anyone is interested...Eastern's old climate change....


LakeEffectKing

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This is what I said for GISS/Had and UAH/RSS:

http://www.easternus...ost__p__4274085

How'd I do?

Much better than 99% of posters thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

You probably missed this amongst the garbage:

There's also the 2010 temps thread to verify. Actual GISS/Had and UAH/RSS temperatures came in at .554 and .496 respectively (using old satellite baseline).

I guessed .56 for the surface and .46 for the satellites.

Only 23 of 101 votes guessed above .51 for the surface. The other 78 were too low by .05 or more. The large majority were too low by .1C+ and 42 people guess below .38 (actual .55).

For the satellites people's guesses were biased even more too cold with 47 people guessing below .13 (vs actual of .50).

Other prominent guesses were (remember actual was .554 and .496)

Mallow .54/.38

MN .54/~.4

tacoman: .54/.38

Rusty: >.56/?

me: .56/.46

all pretty good but people had a tendency too guess too low on the satellites. Have to remember the ENSO effect is bigger on the satellites and 09-10 was the strongest Nino since 97-98.

too bad the poll wasn't public so we could see who guessed all the really low numbers. I have my guesses of course. Overall it seemed few people anticipated how warm 2010 would be.

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