BoulderWX
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Everything posted by BoulderWX
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And we’re off…
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Horrible angle and LF location for TB verbatim on that run. Going to be a long couple of days
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Hands down the worst post I’ve seen this year and that says a lot. This post can only be viewed as ignorant trolling or attention seeking. Either way, it’s just nonsense. This is another 25B+ in damage storm incoming.
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Recon actually found 986. But your point remains
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06Z gfs looks around 958 just North of Tampa 06z icon is roughly 991 south of Tampa 06z NAM about 30 miles west of Tampa still at 84 @ 982mb
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Do you happen to have an image or better yet a link I can bookmark. Know where to find all the globals but not sure best sites for hurricane models.
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Appreciate the response. Another poster echoed that as well right before I posted.
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Question - from the angle the storm will be coming, would it be worse for Tampa (surge wise) for the storm to track north of the metro or south? TIA
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First spot of 30” based on radar estimates*
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Looks very close to a landfall in Steinhatchee or very close to it. For some reason won’t let me post radar shot from RadarScope edit: TWC confirms outer eyewall has made LF.
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Stay safe man!! Looks like you’ll get the eye wall or very close to it.
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Looking upstream…
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Probably about 3 hours until landfall
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Yup
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Getting that classic look on radar. Banding is incredibly impressive
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I have never seen a 20-30” official forecast. And honestly wouldn’t be surprised if some places surpass that. Incredible. Even if the worst case doesn’t pan out, which it hopefully won’t, this one will be historic in its own right.
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Model guidance honing in on high end cat 2 at landfall. Still think we can see low-end cat 3
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In terms of location, that would be best case scenario placing TLH and ATL on the western side. If it were to be closer to Panama City or Port St Joe, the impacts would be significantly worse. Will be interesting to see the details ironed out over the next 6-12 hours but hopeful this stays far enough east to mitigate some of the impacts for the most populated areas in the cone.
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Meanwhile on land…
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Really hoping this is the case because as of yesterday it looked like a worst case scenario for both areas. Way too early to tell but if they can remain on the west side, that would be a saving grace. Regardless, I think it’s way more than a nuisance either way, but will be *less* devastating if the can remain on the western side.
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Wild advisory image.
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Glad to see this didn’t explode overnight but seems like it’s getting its act together this AM. prayers and best wishes for all in its path. Will be a fascinating day of tracking.
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Can this be close to accurate?! A few local spots of 10” of rainfall based on radar estimates. I know these can be off, but they weee very accurate for the coastal areas of North Carolina with the TS a couple weeks ago.
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Praying we continue to see these drops in anticipated max winds and RI, but sadly a storm of this size coming in at this trajectory is going to cause major problems whether it’s a 2/3 or 4.
