Logan11

Just now, Snow88 said:

Maybe we can get more northern stream for everyone to snow.

Could be another score for Hunter Mountain.   https://huntermtn.roundshot.com/

52 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Great Rick and Mitch!

So often in early season events the rates are the difference between zilch and a nice measurable snow.

Hey Jerry, I  had two minor half inch events prior, but this was the first snowfall of any consequence. Yeah the high rates cooled the torched boundary layer and even the valley went to snow ultimately, but very soppy there. 

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Nice Rick. Just read about the freezing rain in Vt causing big problems.  

Here it was just 33 degree rain until the flip. 

3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

33.9F  Moderate rain and snow     75% rain with lots of catpaws and a few mangled large flakes here and there

3.2" final out here west of KALB. Down to spitting flurries now. 

3.2" the final amount for here 25 miles west of KALB. Nice little upper disturbance - look at the spin on ENX.  The first half was wasted in rain, flipped to snow before 4:00 AM.

Congrats Ray!   You hit the jackpot. :)

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm in it now...stall away.

About 5.5 inches out here.  Light snow with some good moderate bursts when I get under a band. 30 degrees.  Far from the coastal storm,  but doing ok.

The Blizzard of '88 was talked about a lot in my family - of Brooklyn at the time.  My grandfather was born almost 9 months to the day of  the Blizzard in December 1888. and my grandmother was born in 1894. She lives up into her 80's so I knew her when I was a kid and heard plenty of blizzard stories passed on by her parents.

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Oh trust me...I know. Those pics are insane. I think Don S had some good ones on his site too. 

I suppose the inch of qpf they generate out here for me is sort of from a quasi Norlun.

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

heh... both I guess... 

Well.. the refusal to just phase the N/stream and capture this thing, collocate ...do the Fuki Wara as that happens, then the two trundling away into the graveyard SHOULD be happening, but the models refuse to do that... 

So what are they going to do with all that uber cold mid level trough closing off ...centered over roughly the PA/NY region?  

As that migrates over head ...the coastal storm seemingly violating physics in moving from inside it, to outside it ... all the while, vestigial jet-stream velocities continue circulating underneath... coastal storm aside, this latter evolution is typically found in the vicinity of Norlun events.  

So I was quasi kidding there with the Norlun but I suppose it wouldn't be ridiculous if one sort of got going... 

Mitch is gonna get buried again I think.

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Hard to read but looks good for eastern Mass on the BTV4.

Some incredible QPF in the mountains, too.  Even cut in half would be big.  Fun week for all.

Interaction with the upper low seems to be very generous even well out west. Model Consensus s .9" to 1.1" qpf even here in the Helderbergs.

Fortunately for a lot of you outside of southeast NE the Euro isn't much of a king anymore.  It could jump back west at 0Z.  For here it still has .5" from the IVT and convergence and that's all I'm ever getting so it's good.

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

All guidance has separate fronto band at H7 over the hudson river to the MA\NY border. This is likely from the nrn and srn s/w interaction. It's the type where queens see less than .5" QPF and get a foot.

There's some kind of convergence or IVT way out over me on all models. The GFS is utra generous with 1" of qpf. I'm cautious in believing such goodness with a low way out at 40/70 (or a bit east)  but looks like there might be some validity to it.

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So that settled a ton...was 60" peak depth...almost half.

Ive had 37" in the last 9 days and 21-22 actually on the ground now. Course a few days in there early last week hit upper 30's.

I have to wonder if the prolific IVT into Eastern NY is going to be for real. A lot of models have it and .5" to .75"  type qpf here. But model IVT magic often evaporates as the event approaches. No direct banding will ever get this far west so it's IVT or nothing, probably the same for western NE unless it trends closer to the coast.

I've certainly cashed in here.  24" in mid March last year and 25" a week ago. But prior to that I guess the last 20+" event here in March was 1993.

1 hour ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Very true I'm sure for many who weren't around for the March blizzards/big snow storms of the late fifties and early sixties (myself included prior to research); especially the epic blizzards in 1956 and 1960.  In meteorology, one can be sure history is destined to repeat itself.   That era (relative to March climatology) is similar to our current period of the past 6 years or so.     

10 or 12 inches in mid March would have been considered a crushing before the generation that experienced such a large cluster of KU storms.

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol a 2018 response if I ever saw one. I'd be ecstatic 

45 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

GFS a bit less amped... northern s/w not quite as favorable.

It looked like it was heading for a good solution until it lost the southern energy way out after Hour 54.  It was a very GFS-like solution.

Look at that beautiful greening lawn in the pics....

jesus dude my stomach was in my mouth for a minute..........

JB on Accuweather:

" U.S. MODELS ABOUT 50 TO 75 TOO FAR EAST Looking at the JMA and Euro has me confident in the ideas, but some adjustments are needed to big city snow amounts, though the heaviest will be west of these cities from D.C. to NYC. The I-95 cities are looking at a 6-12 inch storm with the storm starting as rain then going to a heavy, thumping snow. Snow amounts over 6 inches should reach back as far west as Beckley to Johnstown to Binghamton, where GFS amounts are much lighter, then northeast to north of Eastport, Maine. The storm will probably have some 18-inch amounts over Pennsylvania west of PHL then in southern New England."

At my place in Saugerties, the low was -8.5F and the high was 10F. I was over there checking out the pipe situation in the basement garage. It was 7F when I left there at 5 PM.

Same here, with a high of 14.

Do you guys have Mike Buono (formerly of The Weather Channel) doing forecasts for the HV region of YNN? Here on the Capital District YNN he is the chief met. I'm wondering if all of their wx stuff comes out of one central location such as the Albany studios now.

FWIW ...low was -14F up at my house. Cold, but a bit dissapointing since we were already at -13 around 3 AM. I thought we were good for a run at -20 around dawn. Hey if it's gonna be way below zero you might as well go for the coldest. :

On YNN news this morning they listed two HV districts, one had a delay and the other canceled classes.

Currently -9F and dropping steadily.....

Down to 2* here..

Forecasted low of -13*.. Brrrr

Flurrries and 4F here now. We clouded up and had a half inch of fluff snow here in the pre-dawn. The low back around midnight was -8.5C.

I think it got to -8 at the airport (KPOU), haven't checked what my weather station got down to yet, but currently it shows -2F right now

The sub zero party was ended around here though as the clouds have now come in. Up to 0F now.....

Temps. are busting on the low side.

REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1100 PM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

HUDSON VALLEY

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

NEWBURGH CLEAR 1 -2 85 VRB3 29.86S

MONTGOMERY CLEAR -3 -7 82 CALM 29.84F

POUGHKEEPSIE CLEAR 0 -3 87 CALM 29.87F

ALBANY CLOUDY 6 3 87 CALM 29.88F