Logan11

Just now, Snow88 said:

Maybe we can get more northern stream for everyone to snow.

Could be another score for Hunter Mountain.   https://huntermtn.roundshot.com/

52 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Great Rick and Mitch!

So often in early season events the rates are the difference between zilch and a nice measurable snow.

Hey Jerry, I  had two minor half inch events prior, but this was the first snowfall of any consequence. Yeah the high rates cooled the torched boundary layer and even the valley went to snow ultimately, but very soppy there. 

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Nice Rick. Just read about the freezing rain in Vt causing big problems.  

Here it was just 33 degree rain until the flip. 

3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

33.9F  Moderate rain and snow     75% rain with lots of catpaws and a few mangled large flakes here and there

3.2" final out here west of KALB. Down to spitting flurries now. 

3.2" the final amount for here 25 miles west of KALB. Nice little upper disturbance - look at the spin on ENX.  The first half was wasted in rain, flipped to snow before 4:00 AM.

Congrats Ray!   You hit the jackpot. :)

23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm in it now...stall away.

About 5.5 inches out here.  Light snow with some good moderate bursts when I get under a band. 30 degrees.  Far from the coastal storm,  but doing ok.

Look at that beautiful greening lawn in the pics....

jesus dude my stomach was in my mouth for a minute..........

JB on Accuweather:

" U.S. MODELS ABOUT 50 TO 75 TOO FAR EAST Looking at the JMA and Euro has me confident in the ideas, but some adjustments are needed to big city snow amounts, though the heaviest will be west of these cities from D.C. to NYC. The I-95 cities are looking at a 6-12 inch storm with the storm starting as rain then going to a heavy, thumping snow. Snow amounts over 6 inches should reach back as far west as Beckley to Johnstown to Binghamton, where GFS amounts are much lighter, then northeast to north of Eastport, Maine. The storm will probably have some 18-inch amounts over Pennsylvania west of PHL then in southern New England."

At my place in Saugerties, the low was -8.5F and the high was 10F. I was over there checking out the pipe situation in the basement garage. It was 7F when I left there at 5 PM.

Same here, with a high of 14.

Do you guys have Mike Buono (formerly of The Weather Channel) doing forecasts for the HV region of YNN? Here on the Capital District YNN he is the chief met. I'm wondering if all of their wx stuff comes out of one central location such as the Albany studios now.

FWIW ...low was -14F up at my house. Cold, but a bit dissapointing since we were already at -13 around 3 AM. I thought we were good for a run at -20 around dawn. Hey if it's gonna be way below zero you might as well go for the coldest. :

On YNN news this morning they listed two HV districts, one had a delay and the other canceled classes.

Currently -9F and dropping steadily.....

Down to 2* here..

Forecasted low of -13*.. Brrrr

Flurrries and 4F here now. We clouded up and had a half inch of fluff snow here in the pre-dawn. The low back around midnight was -8.5C.

I think it got to -8 at the airport (KPOU), haven't checked what my weather station got down to yet, but currently it shows -2F right now

The sub zero party was ended around here though as the clouds have now come in. Up to 0F now.....

Temps. are busting on the low side.

REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1100 PM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

HUDSON VALLEY

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

NEWBURGH CLEAR 1 -2 85 VRB3 29.86S

MONTGOMERY CLEAR -3 -7 82 CALM 29.84F

POUGHKEEPSIE CLEAR 0 -3 87 CALM 29.87F

ALBANY CLOUDY 6 3 87 CALM 29.88F

The bottom has dropped out here. Down to -7F. I think we are supposed to get clouds later as a trough moves by....to end this free fall.

I think all the snow cover can insulate away some of the arctic attack.....lose power..then its a big problem very fast.... I worry about this in multiple places as you know each winter..hope to be in town Monday or Tuesday.. - In southern Maine we are being punished for the mild winter of 09-10 this month....

Sean

btw 12572 zip forecasted 5 f for the lows overnight.... already 3 and not thinking it will be much warmer around midnight.....

Hey Sean...glad you found your way over to this new BB . Wow Re: that -7F. I hope the pipes haven't already had a problem there - but no bad news from the tenant. Tomorrow night definitely looks frigid. Hope we get a good storm next week then.

Rick it was forecasted at +7 for the Rhinebeck area last night... but our low (milan FD rt 308) -8F . THAT IS A HUGE BUST...

Before we get to the storm....we have the bitter cold tomorrow night and Monday. I wonder how far below zero it will get in the Mid Hudson Valley. The NWS point forecast says -7F in Saugerties. I am considering going down and putting a space heater in the garage underneath our small house in Saugerties that we rent out. The coldest I have recorded there this January was -2F so it isn't the greatest radiational spot, but tomorrow night looks colder. Back in the super cold winter of 1994, we recorded -24F at that location. My all time record there was -26F in January 1982. In that 1994 outbreak some people in the coldest hollows of Saugerties had -30F.

Nuisance light snow here also ...all morning to varying degrees. A temprature of 30.7F with little movement since 8 AM. A half inch or a bit more of this on top of the sleet covering.

But it is a beautful sight out there...true winter.

Light snow falling now.

A FAIL for this event really.. ....2" of snow/sleet on the ground here as it winds down now. Very little FZRA fell so I guess that is a win. At times the sleet had a little mixed in, but not enough for any ice acretion other than the slightest glaze. 27F out there now.

I've been using a pick on the ice in my stone driveway

I really hope that we get above freezing long enough tomorrow to work on the ice rink aka my driveway.

22 and light sleet continues. I see a better batch of precipitation is coming north out of the Mid Hudson Valley.

Strange that the best echoes have actually been from the Susquehanna region, western Catskills north northeast into the Adirondacks. This qpf max was unpredicted by the models. Meanwhile a paltry .25" (qpf) at best here since this began.

27.5 F here, ZR coating everything

At this point we have very light frozen precip..snow grains and sleet probably. 18F. It really hasn't been doing much of anything since about 9:00 AM. This is starting to seem like an underwhelming event. I'm sure we haven't had more than .2" qpf so this could be a major model bust because at 0Z the NAM was forecasting around .8" and the GFS .6" here.

Agree 100%

Moderate to heavy snow here and 16F. at 8:00 AM. About 2" on the ground. I just woke up so not sure when it started.

My temp is slowly rising here. Started at 16 and heavy snow for a few hours then as the temp approached 20 it changed to sleet. It's been sleeting now for almost two hours and, well, yuck Temp now is 21 at the house and 24 down on Rt 6 with heavy sleet. What are the chances it gets above freezing at the surface?

If the NAM qpf verifies ...I hope you guys have generators and chain saws ready in the Mid Hudson Valley. I think we are mainly dealing with a sleet threat here after the snow....

0Z NAM sounding, the model initilized with 2M temps at 14F, 5 degrees lower than the KSWF temp of 19F. Most of the county is at 19F and has been for awhile.. Not sure if this means anything overall.

Station ID: KSWF Lat: 41.50 Long: -74.09

NAM Model Run: 0Z JAN 18, 2011

Forecast Hours: 0hr 6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr 30hr 36hr 42hr 48hr 54hr 60hr 66hr

Sfc Prs(mb): 1008.5 1006.6 999.2 991.8 986.3 984.7 986.6 988.2 993.1 997.6 1000.9 1000.5

Mean SLP (mb): 1028.1 1026.2 1018.7 1010.6 1004.9 1003.3 1005.4 1006.8 1012.0 1016.9 1020.5 1019.8

2m agl Tmp (F): 14.4 15.0 24.4 32.4 34.0 31.6 29.2 33.4 26.6 20.4 15.9 23.7

2m agl Dewpt(F): 5.5 9.6 23.2 31.5 33.7 30.6 27.9 29.9 22.8 15.7 10.6 17.5

2m agl RH (%): 67 79 95 97 99 96 95 87 85 81 79 77

10m agl Dir: 109 98 80 81 9 311 290 303 309 303 305 299

10m agl Spd(kt): 4 6 10 10 8 9 7 8 11 11 8 7

6hr Precip (in): 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.51 0.49 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 423 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 MAZ001-NYZ041-043-048>054-058-063-083-084-180530- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0003.110118T1000Z-110119T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0003.110118T0500Z-110119T1200Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA- WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...DELANSON...ESPERANCE... DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA... MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS... FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH

423 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS: THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...NORTHEASTERN CATSKILLS...NORTHERN TACONICS AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARDS: MAINLY SNOW AND SLEET...MIXING AT TIMES WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...POSSIBLY ENDING AS FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: POSSIBLY 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET ALONG WITH AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION.

* TIMING: FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. ALSO THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WHERE WET SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN MIGHT BRING DOWN SOME TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES.

* TEMPERATURES: STARTING OUT BETWEEN 10 TO 20 DEGREES...RISING TO AROUND FREEZING MARK BY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT.

* WINDS: GENERALLY WILL BE NORTH OR NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 423 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ059>061-064>066-180530- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0003.110118T1000Z-110119T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0003.110118T0500Z-110119T1200Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE- EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS

- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON

423 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS: THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN TACONICS AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARDS: SNOW MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY ENDING AS FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS: POSSIBLY 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET ALONG WITH ONE QUARTER TO NEAR A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION.

* TIMING: FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. ALSO THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WHERE WET SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN MIGHT BRING DOWN SOME TREES...BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. * TEMPERATURES: STARTING OUT BETWEEN 10 TO 20 DEGREES...RISING TO AROUND FREEZING MARK BY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT.

* WINDS: GENERALLY WILL BE NORTH OR NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.