TSSN+

Nam really starting to increase coastal snows. 
 

MDZ004>006-008-011-507-508-160330- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-240116T1500Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- 227 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with up to 6" on the higher hilltops.

Coming down nicely in Westminster now under some 15ish dbz returns. Have a dusting. 

Very light snow has started in Westminster. Let’s do this. 

Westminster with nada so far. 

Nam with 4-7” and hrrr with some flurries love these models. 

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I wanna say it  

I know everyone wants the big one but after what we been through lately I’ll take 1-3” lol 

Just now, stormtracker said:

Definitely a wetter run so far...like I said, nothing to jump for joy over, but it's a definite improvement

I just wanna hear… Folks! 

10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

4” in Westminster would be double my snow for last year and this year combined. I’m in. 

We are finally trending up as a storm nears instead of down. I like this. 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

At we're at 60 and will be for a while because the NAM is run on a Pentium II

It’s soooo slow 

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least

Hopefully not scammed 

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

We take

 

We’re back baby! 

Dagger

Just now, jayyy said:

Shit I’d take a nice advisory level event at this point. Get the ball rolling heading into peak climo and a prime pattern window


.

Better than 0 that’s for sure 

Icon looks like a 2-4” event dc north 

18z model looks solid 

3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Not a good trend. 
 

I will add that we are still a good ways away from this. Plenty of time for change. And for once I’d say slower is better. If this ends up a late Tues/We storm it might be a good thing

The low isn’t se and it isn’t the euro so it’s fine. 

Just now, jaydreb said:

12z GEFS looks like the proverbial “step back”.  
 

The op was se so naturally gefs would take a step back 

Models be like 

6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The fundamental problem continues on the Euro/EPS. That piece of energy (A) which is largely absent on other guidance, initially de-amplifies the PNA ridge, and then a piece of energy associated with the TPV(B) starts to phase with it. Result is the trough can't deepen nor turn neutral/negative in time as it progresses eastward.. Less dig/amplification, weaker wave, too progressive.

My wag is this depiction is in error to some degree and will correct, probably suddenly, over a couple runs. Lets effing hope.

Just now, yoda said:

 

Ok Euro time to get with it 

Just now, yoda said:

Mod snow at 120

She’s a beaut Clark 

This run is going to be excellent. Intial wave bringing light to moderate snow, secondary about to go off. 

As Randy would say… Folks!