UlsterCountySnowZ

I still think we stand a good shot at 3-6” on Xmas up here

Euro says anyone north and west of rockland is 3-6”+ on Xmas day, with 1-2+ 2 days prior

It’s not really a cold or warm thing imo... it’s the reasons as to why.. and yes they can change quickly... the euro has the trough axis too far west, therefor the baroclinic zone sets up almost along the coast leading our wave to enhance the Far interior and wrap cold air in... now the GFS is significantly east with our trough, bringing the Baroclinic zone offshore and allowing for heavy snow just inland 50-100 miles inland.... either way the good news, is both models have our eastern Trough, so storm there... there IS cold air to work with on the western side... now we need to nail down intesnsity/trough axis and placement... also a weaker low, would allow for snows to break out also. so several outcomes produce snow for us... climo/pattern doesn’t favor Coast.. Coast needs a lot to make this white IMO, their best shot IMO is a weak low

GFS gives us our interior snow bomb peak hours Xmas day... let’s lock it up

Same

Huge flakes coming down, light snow... can tell smell the rain almost

Another firefighter just texted me said it’s snowing pretty hard at WP

Decent energy out ahead, I’m seeing 30+DBZ localized in some spots.. I had about 28dbz... for about 20 min.. Coated everything, light snow now

Light snow now, was just flurries but picked up a bit last 10min

For once

Yea rgem still maintains some bursts, but I don’t see more than “squall” type snows

00z runs were ugly, gotta be well N+W, rgem is alone with that much precip making its way down here... I’m expecting dusting-1”

I’m mostly referring to recent storm, they mention it in the AFD, but that’s it

I know we’re not suppose to harp on NWS, but I have to say, ever since I moved up here, (Albany) forecast area, I’ve notice they are continuously in the dark on their own forecasts... despite moderate totals for most their Southern area, not advisories or even updates for that matter on the storm, they pretended like It wasn’t happening lol... their probabilistic forecast for the area for Tuesday into wed is 0 snow, high end >1”.... is it just a case where they don’t care about their far southern viewing? I’m baffled

Rgem is a solid event for us up here

Nice, we had our union Xmas party at the West Point Ski lodge last night, it was beautiful

Had a party out there?

I hope u guys jackpot lol

No I only saw flakes

We may salvage our first accumulating snowfall up here..

My home averages this month.... not bad for November High Low Average Temperature F73.1 °F 14.1 °F 39.4 °F Dew Point 63 °F 5 °F 30.8 °F Humidity 98% 25% 76.3%

4.4 quake just hit NE of Delaware, Dover edit: upgraded to 5.1

Pattern looks promising next week, could squeeze our first measurable snow in... tight window

I’ve had a few flakes in the air. Nothing too noteworthy

To add insult to injury, Ryan Maue posted the scores updated... verification order is 1) euro...2) Ukemt....3) tie between GFS/GGEM <—— that’s depressing for GFs fans