JTA66

Agnes can post the pretty maps, but looks like the NAM is spitting out 2.5” of IP. That will be fun to shovel.

Also flips Philly and the burbs over to light freezing drizzle late Sunday evening. Doubt there will be radar hallucinations with this, should come in hot & heavy. But maybe some weenie wishcasting, “the low is 5 miles further south than modeled 120hrs ago, it’s coming in colder!”. 9F/DP -5F

Yes, it’s suppressed to the Carolinas. At this range, I’d rather it be suppressed to Jamaica.

I’m sticking with my 6-10” idea, though leaning toward the lower end now. Still, get under the heavier rates and delay the changeover by an hour or two, 8” is still possible.

RGEM still showing that really nice thump before any change to IP. The GFS will figure it out 6Z Tuesday.

Welp, the cold is here at least. 15F/DP -5F

I dipped below freezing. Who knows when I’ll see 33F again.

We have an uncanny ability to steal defeat from the jaws of victory. So yes, there’s a world in which an arctic high can suppress precip, but what trace amounts bust through will encounter a warm tongue and fall as anything but snow. It’s how we roll!

I rode the HRRR/RGEM combo to victory last weekend (go figure?). I'll ride it again this weekend

Taint up to I-80 May need to revisit those Valentine's Day 2007 discussions

The long, long, long range HRRR seems to be placing the low over Corolla NC. (Use for entertainment purposes only!)

The Lehigh Valley and Poconos have nothing on Manayunk, Roxborough and Conshohocken

I guess I'm asking what's the difference between a "transfer" and a "redevelopment"? I've always used those terms interchangeably. Just trying to increase my knowledge.

I feel like I should know this, but what's the difference?

Everyone take a deep breath. We still haven't been NAM'd yet. I'm sure it's coming.