JTA66

Maybe Flo hacked the NAM?

I see the radar has some returns in PA, I just figured it was all virga. 15F/DP -2F

Oh yeah, scored a variety of vodkas, whiskeys and bourbons. I should make it to next weekend now Seriously, wtf is wrong with ppl?? You’ll be stuck in your house for a day and 1/2 at most. By Monday afternoon you’ll be able to get to Wawa or McDonald’s.

I think I’m so traumatized from a decade of crap winters that anything non-liquid falling from the sky feels like a win.

It’s all about perspective, right? It’s a letdown because we were looking at the potential of a foot or more of snow earlier in the week. But what if we were looking at a rainstorm earlier in the week and it evolved into this? We’d be doing cartwheels. That’s why an old-timer met likes to say, “enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you got.”

This has been my idea since Thursday. Since then, my confidence has decreased, not increased. But I’ll let it ride and go down with ship if need be. Meanwhile, I’ll be at the whiskey & chocolate fest in Oaks today picking up storm supplies.

Agnes can post the pretty maps, but looks like the NAM is spitting out 2.5” of IP. That will be fun to shovel.

Also flips Philly and the burbs over to light freezing drizzle late Sunday evening. Doubt there will be radar hallucinations with this, should come in hot & heavy. But maybe some weenie wishcasting, “the low is 5 miles further south than modeled 120hrs ago, it’s coming in colder!”. 9F/DP -5F

Yes, it’s suppressed to the Carolinas. At this range, I’d rather it be suppressed to Jamaica.

I’m sticking with my 6-10” idea, though leaning toward the lower end now. Still, get under the heavier rates and delay the changeover by an hour or two, 8” is still possible.

RGEM still showing that really nice thump before any change to IP. The GFS will figure it out 6Z Tuesday.

Welp, the cold is here at least. 15F/DP -5F

I dipped below freezing. Who knows when I’ll see 33F again.

We have an uncanny ability to steal defeat from the jaws of victory. So yes, there’s a world in which an arctic high can suppress precip, but what trace amounts bust through will encounter a warm tongue and fall as anything but snow. It’s how we roll!

I rode the HRRR/RGEM combo to victory last weekend (go figure?). I'll ride it again this weekend