Looks like we all cashed in. Congrats everyone! I got between 3"-4" in Salisbury. I love when I get a forecast right
It was a pretty good winter overall. Time to sit back and wait for the warmth now! Still can't guarantee winter is over though.
But these forecasters in Wakefield are meteorologists and we are now less than 24 hours away and they've made no decisions on winter highlights for the region while there is a warning for the counties north. Wakefield is consistently slow and late with everything. Their totals aren't even close to matching Mount Holly's border counties. They are nervous and not confident but make a decision. You're a meteorologist! Make a decision anyway. I mean, not even a winter storm watch? Is that going to hurt your verification Wakefield if a watch is issued?
Sorry I am frustrated. This is 2 years of working in the Wakefield aread and seeing no changes or improvements with their forecasts.
Right now I think the chances for at least 2 inches of snow and sleet for areas north of a line from Richmond to Wallops Island is about 60% with at least 4 inches at 30%. Chances are improving.
This system is quite interesting and kind of rare. It's essentially a cold front. It will all depend on the timing of the cold air. If it can get through here in time we could see a significant snowstorm. I like the GFS lately with predicting snows and it gives most of us at least 4 inches, not the 12z GFS, I think that's too snowy. I think the NAM is too far north and so is the GGEM. We will see how things pan out on the 00z runs. Hopefully nothing trends toward the NAM.
Thanks for the observation!
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This is a very juicy system. Actually it may be more juicy than last weeks storm. I think ratios will be 10:1 and 12:1 with bigger flakes, more moisture, and not as dry as last storm when we saw such small flakes and fine snow that took forever to build up.
My gut is saying 4"-7" in Salisbury, 2"-4/3"-5 just north and west of there. I wouldn't be surprised if there are some 8"+ amounts somewhere from Salisbury south. Get ready everyone!
The snow graphic, point and click, and actual advisory almost NEVER agree and that makes ZERO sense. I'm not sure what the NWS thinks I am getting.... 1"-3", 2"-5", or 2"-3" in Salisbury? All three are different. LOL.