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Everything posted by snowdude
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The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
snowdude replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
snowdude replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
I thought that was the case from what I saw but I don’t have access to snow map. -
The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
snowdude replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
CAD is usually under-represented at this point on models and southern storms TYPICALLY come in faster than modeled. But this year has done its own thing. lol -
The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
snowdude replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC is also slower, high pressure still good, but storm totals not as intense as 12z. -
Well, no., maybe...haha...it's just been frustrating for sure especially when you forecast one thing and something else happens. Models really can't handle this pattern. But we've seen last minute shifts before and that can still happen. Not giving up yet,
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I really like the RGEM as a model and it is WAY south now. Still time for a change, but we'll see.
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Not that I love the way they've been performing lately, but the latest 21z SREF increases snow totals big time.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Definitely! UKMET hasn’t been good IMO this winter.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
UKMET and NAM a total miss while GFS a hit, CMC getting better, and EURO trended south last night but still some snow. This will be interesting as always. Major model busts coming for some. Deep down I’ve always thought this one will work out for us. Hopefully I’m right! ❄️ -
UKMET way south, NAM way south. GFS and CMC basically a “hit” and the EURO has consistently been a hit until it trended south last night. Again, some models are going to bust big time.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well this upcoming storm on Saturday seems to favor northern Delmarva, but there could be some accumulation into Salisbury. Let's keep tracking! -
Clearly worse for the DC area, but better for New England. No surprise there. At least it's pretty consistent with the snow over Lake Michigan, Lake Huron, and Lake Ontario. But seriously, let's wait it out, these things are tricky.
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The FV3 has just been horrid lately IMO and I’m afraid when it takes over as the permanent GFS.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Probably about 3-4 inches of snow in Cambridge this morning. Hoping for some nice banding later. -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I haven’t been out in an hour or so. We may have over an inch. Looking outside it’s whitened up quite a bit. -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Moderate snow in Cambridge. It’s a fight between big and small flakes. Everything covered. Probably 3/4”-1” on ground about right now. -
Me too.
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A bit of a slower and tucked storm. Has light snow in DC surrounding areas well into Sunday night. Snow not as good as 18z, about same as 12z?
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
snowdude replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mount Holly and Wakefield (as usual) not performing their best. Doubt it mixes in Easton, and Wakefield has gone from 4-6 inches in Salisbury, back to 3-4, and now back up to 4-6. They had less than an inch in Ocean City and now 2-3 inches there. Storm tonight on 00 guidance is slowling the storm down a bit, maybe ending later Sunday night/Monday morning. We will see! These storms LOVE to overperform.