TauntonBlizzard2013

Gfs sees a tad slower through 66. Wonder if that helps the final outcome

Wow. Icon slays. Gets eastern areas with the coastal. That’s how you get 12-18

Not sure what to make of the NAM

No school Monday and possibly Tuesday?

You can still see a handful of members that would get a secondary going. It’s on life support, but not gone entirely

We knew. However, the actually overrunning portion is beefing up. Still could easily produce a foot

Euro and euro AI both look great here. 10-15”

There are also some Mets with hesitation on bigger totals, are we ignoring that? It’s okay to disagree. I want to see a more defined secondary development before I buy big totals. Others are free to think differently, and then we reconvene after the event to see what happened.

I think that’s the upper bound solution. Prolific overrunning followed by a defined, developing costal with CCB action in eastern areas. That is how someone scores 20. Hope it’s right, but that’s looking less likely after 12z IMO

I think the trend at 12z, minus the Canadian, was decidedly less potential CCB influence from another developing low pressure. I think that’s the key. And if we don’t get that, you have a hard time reaching big totals. Correct me if I’m wrong, but don’t we normally see huge ratios in a more traditional coastal? I’m not sure in this type of setup you are going to get 15+:1 ratios. However, even an inch of water at 12-13:1 is close to a foot of snow.

Euro is closer to an icon solution than anything else.

Watch out, you might catch shit for this lol. But I agree. I’m selling any secondary involvement. I’d guess this ends up a pretty uniform 6-10” spot 12

Obviously if we get a CCB assist in the second half, all bets are off. I think mid sized was a bad choice of words, probably should have just said, not upper echelon

I didn’t know not jumping immediately to a double digit floor was a bad thing lol. Just trying to be realistic

Actually develops the storm in time for a CCB assist in eastern ma. 1.5 qpf south of boston