DTWXRISK

The video from 2011 ---watch it 2x and note all the predictions that joe blowhole BUSTardi got wrong.

https://youtu.be/3mzUjn2Z-2E

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   LET ME   GO    UPDATE   ( CRASH  facebook) 

DCA     NORTH VA     BAL SNOW  DROUGHT

8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Is this for Monday the 16th or Wed the 14th?

dec16

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Just now, Ji said:

3 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said:

  at   40-45   degrees?   Good luck with that

 

Cause gfs is dry. Icon is 32-34

  yes at 90 hrs  ...18z  MON  ..

BUT  dude    when the  event begin at   12z   Monday
  DCA  is  38   CHO is 40   Winchester is 35f

 A  lot of  rain until 18z ....    

WARM SNOW??? 

 what the hell   is  that?   

 is it like  LIBERAL  Bustardi???

1 minute ago, Ji said:

6 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said:

  the monday    event is a cold  rain

Icon is warm snow

  at   40-45   degrees?   Good luck with that

 

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

11 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

Here’s the pretty snow maps.  
 
 

P13ftw

  12 of  24   hit  DCA BAL   nw   third of VA  central MD   with  ACCUMULATING    snow

47 minutes ago, Amped said:

Southern stream is weak.  No low coming out of the gulf coast states.

 

 

  its the GFS   

 that model  simply does not see  stj  ast  72  84  hrs   ... never has been   
never will be

 see the   DEC 7   event here in  central VA... GFS  has NOTHING  every run   for  6 days   until  42 hrs  before the event 

58 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don't get the excitement for the Monday thing..maybe it's just me.  The mid week thing is what I'm looking for.  GFS has the High a little slower...which I think is a good thing.  Looks more pronounced with CAD so far

  the monday    event is a cold  rain

10 minutes ago, Ji said:

15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The TPV pulls west and the next trough dives in too far west so even with a -AO/NAO that’s not so good unless it’s 2010 level blocking. But the guidance was doing that for this week not long ago and you were whining that the storms were tracking now were cutters. So...

Lol so much for the meterogically impossible to get cutters during a strong AO NAO block

  no  that not what it means

  what it means is that 

a)    even if the model shows an inland track   with  - AO/ - NAO    you should NOT  accept that solution  as  valid

b)   and it means after 15  years   you  have  learned  not a damn thing

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

It is so freaking close here to it being a bigger deal. 2M in the mid 30s along the 81 corridor. I’m hoping rates can possibly turn it over to a wet a** snow. Looks great for the DC crew and that’s with it having a known warm bias.

 counting on the ICON  for  snowstorm    is a  LOSE   situation

1 hour ago, JakkelWx said:

Sheesh... does the ENS control even have any support from the mean? Hell of a way to run a strong NAO block with 50/50 confluence and a high over SE canada.

no one with a brain  should  ever look at  the  EPS  or GEFS  control runs

 the only met   I know that does that is a ****ing  idiot Henry M

1 hour ago, Ji said:

the models 48 hours before the storm will have 2 feet in Richmond and 4-8 in DC and 1 inch in philly to too right?

in  a  Miller B?

dude  come on   stop 

Just now, jaydreb said:

I think the confusion is that Wednesday is 12/16, not 12/14.  People may think you were referring to Weds event and not Monday’s because you said Weds 12/14.  
 

 

 well i edited  it  a while ago but maybe you are right 

18 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

I did. Above 3,000 feet in West Virginia looks pretty good for wet snow.

   snowchaser    In my   earlier   reply  I  got the  2 event dates   DEC  14     confused 
  you may be   confused   by what I ma saying   here 

 My comments about   rain in VA  in western VA    are  for the dec 14  event ONLY 
 if you saw  MY  recent  previous post    I am  BULLISH  have been for more than 36 hrs   about  all of  western VA  for  WED  DEC16

 SURFACE TEMPS  WED  DEC 14 AM 

925MB  temps   well above  zero.....

 if YOU think   you are going to get snow  in westrn VA   with temps  39-43  degrees  and  925 mb temps    above  0z ... 
  that not gonna happen
 

 I  DONT KNOW   IF OTHERS POSTED THESE OR  NOT

  screaming ice storm VA  Piedmont   to  snow...     

BIG   hit for  sw va   All of the Shend valley    central / western MD 

2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

Even in the mountains?! What are you smoking? 

 

 dec  14   look at the data

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Wed or the 14th? 

dec 14

5 hours ago, Snowchaser said:

I’m feeling solid about this storm upcoming in Cville. I think we all have a great chance of seeing 3”+

  yes ... CANT   wait to move there in March

2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB GFS 18Z.  Coastal low not as organized?

   its the  18z GFS  dont care...   WHY?

LOOK at the 18z GEFS ... the differences  between the  OP  GFS  and   the 18z GEFS are   significant   which   tells me  that  the op GFS  is still  not  getting it 

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Unless one simply likes hand wringing over details of a singular op run 5+ days out, love this panel and live for the next model cycle.

   again     very much like  12z  euro//eps 

 again     east coast  storms   EURO  leading    with consistency

MON DEC 14  looks like a cold rain to me... the  850 mb is cold enough   but 925  and surface temps are   way too warm   

even in the mountains