Had a little success with the small storms and starting observation threads over the years so why not give it a shot. Randy might delete but I’m hearing this one till the very end. Change the title if you’d like.
As for a weather observation and road observation, 36/15 currently in Westminster and 35/16 at the house. Roads brined in Frederick and Carroll counties on my journey this morning.
Radar looking juicy to the SW and the latest run of the HRRR improved again a bit. Lettuce pray.
I'm in your 4-8 zone on South Mountain in Carroll Valley. There should be some oro enhancement here and I'll maximize ratios on the NW edge provided there isn't a subsidence zone. Some of the recent models like the 3k have the focus area moving NW and limiting a snowhole in places.
I actually think there will be some good runs to come. GFS and some other guidance has moved that transfer zone and area northwest every run along with the base of the vort at h5.
It means he's merging you with Weather53. In weather news, I recommend you guys jumping on the next time we have a zoom. PSU always giving good analysis.
Kinda looks better across the board if were gonna analyze it haha. The actual low and the vort take a good track, what the NAM identifies as the low on a few frames isn't really the location lol.
Tenman Johnson, never forget him. Same with @needbiggerboat that night he got super drunk and I'm not sure we've ever heard from him since. Actually, do you remember when it was posted that Tenman was Weather53?
12z suite really locked in 3-4" over my neck of the woods for this one. Will be a great wintry scene and day for sure. I am on the side of the mountain so can see/hear Liberty and the guns at all times too.