stormtracker

Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Or we need faster movement of the s/w Ugh

wasn't talking about Thursday

No, that's not what I'm hmm about. Euro looks like it's heading for something big at 156

Euro...hmmm

Old news. The new hotness is Sunday. We like our fails spaced 2 days apart.

Yeah, I was eyeballing at first joking. But it is a pretty significant jump, relatively.

Agreed. 0z had no accums south of you. Now I'm in the zone

No joke..Euro is a little more snowier vs 0z. Rain snow line is like 10 feet further south. Actually, in all seriousness...comes in as all snow for DC area. Before it was a mix at 0z

You can come on up to this tundra at 300 feet

Thankfully the Euro should swoop in here momentarily to kill hope. Hope is a dangerous thing.

I think so. I think I have them in an old photobucket account. Now to figure out the username and password

I'll take the CMC and call it a winter. Seriously. I'm tired.

LWX seems kinda nervous rea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1030 AM EST Mon Jan 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A frontal system will bring wintry precipitation to the region this evening into Tuesday. Another system may impact our region late Wednesday into early Thursday. High pressure builds into the early parts of this weekend before another system potentially impacts our region on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Forecast confidence on p-type and specific snow/ice amounts continues to be lacking due to spread among guidance on temps aloft, isothermal layer seen on model soundings, and very cold sounding seen this morning at IAD. Tried to maintain as much as consistency with previous forecast as possible, however, some adjustments were made to the 90th percentile or reasonable worst case scenario for snow amounts now showing a max of 5 inches across the north and 2-3 inches (reasonable worst case) for areas around the Capital Beltway. This is to account for the higher than normal uncertainty in the forecast. Did also some adjustments to the precip onset graphic, a little quicker in the southwest and a little slower in the northeast mainly after 7PM. QPF amounts in the 18Z-00Z today time frame were also lowered somewhat in the southwest based on 06Z ECMWF ensembles and slow progression on precip on regional radars.

I made a bar at my house. Bought all liquors (and discovered that I like Scotch way more than I thought), mixers, even some new glasses and I've been having a ball. Anyway, here's to hoping the NAM scores the coup.

ICON didn't look all that great to me?

Only 7 days away!

lol, NAM doesn't even have a molecule over the area during the supposed storm.

How did you get so lucky?

I think that's the only reason? We've all just gotten used to being told the NAM is crap so we just run with it? But this time, it likely is. There is zero other model support.

cackling

We got nothing else. F*** it, might as well pretend we're on a snowstorm eve. Well for the next hour. THe RGEM, GFS and even ICON will come in with 2 sleet pellets and a flake for the cumulative total of the storm.

so at hour 28 at 12 k, there's this really heavy band of....<checks again> blue over the dc area