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Everything posted by stormtracker
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just ever so slightly amp'd in front, but again...not noteworthy so far -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still noise level changes so far...nothing major -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Better than you, that's for sure. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
So at 36, so far..some noise level changes with the s/w in Canada ridging is just a hair flatter, but nothing to panic about....yet -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hey, I got us to the promised land at 12z! That said....not huge changes so far...but we're only at 24 -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yall ready for the biggest cave in GFS history? Bout to dig into some 90 minute Dogfish and some sushi and watch the modern day Hindenburg. Not even reverse psychology can stop this beast -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Probably going to Houston. I can't use the NAM's inch to get out of that -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
And out to sea it goes on the NAM. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gotcha. But yeah, it's closer to the Euro than GFS so far -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yup, but it's not the same as Euro or GFS, but will be more Euro than GFS at this point. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's definitely not the same vs 12z run. It doesn't look like either the GFS or Euro. Maybe something in between -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
NAM def is a bit sharper out front...still not a match with GFS so far tho -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Once we created this thread, it saw and decided to act acoordingly. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, just saw it. HRRR much closer to the GFS by far. But you know we're desperate when we're looking at the HRRR rn -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
So yeah, as others have pointed out the key is those s/w up in south central Canada. GFS just merges them, Euro keeps them separate. So I guess we look for that on future runs of the models -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Remember the exciting days leading up to a big storm and the NAM would drop like 45" on us? That's when you knew it was real -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
This could be the worse GFS fail I have ever witnessed. 3 days out and showing a blizzard and on Sunday we'll be dealing with snizzle. smh -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its slightly closer to the coast than 6z, but it's unremarkable on the way out. So there's that. 18z GFS should be fun! Or horrible. But this run of the Euro ain't it -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Definitely not GFS like. Gets some light stuff in the vicinity around hour 69 -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
What I can say with confidence is, it isn't sharp as the GFS and probably won't have the same outcome -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
No huge changes so far. May be noise level higher out front -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro out to 9. No changes. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It could be one the worst fails of its existence.
