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Cold Miser

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Posts posted by Cold Miser

  1. 11 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

    Why would it be the 17th?  That's a Monday and the beginning of a work week.  Guaranteed almost no one could make that.  The 14th or 21st would make more sense since they are the 2 Friday evenings prior to Christmas,

    ...just making waves like I do.

    I've been to 3 of the Monday gatherings in the past 5 years. Definitely not optimal date, but the turn out has been good in the past.  I am not sure how the Monday thing started, but I am think it has something to do with Jerry and his schedule.  The Monday Christmas gtg has been his thing.

    I will try to make it when ever. 

  2. 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    Always special to get that first one. The winds with the burst made it a bit Ginx windexy

    lol.  "That first one".  Some flakes blowing around with the leaves doesn't quite qualify as the first of anything except for just that...a few flakes flying around.  Not even in the same conversation as the weenies who pulled out legit first of the season/ or the second season of the season snows.  You were on the sidelines while the big boys were out playing.

  3. 4 hours ago, LurkerBoy said:

    Lots of cutters on the 6z GFS... probably spikes of temp with them, but it's interesting to see how wet the forecast remains. Hope we don't blow it all early and be left with a barren winter. 

    lol.  Already throwing in the towel.

  4. On 10/27/2018 at 6:37 PM, weatherwiz said:

    yeah Funky's was awesome and certainly central-based. Only problem is parking kinda sucks. I think we should shoot for a Saturday though...right in the middle of the weekend and it avoids Friday traffic

    Would be nice if we showed up during another bachelorette party again.

     

  5. 36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

     I'm not sure why anybody would be surprised by that anyway, it is not like modeling had in any way locked a cold pattern in the long range.  Step down pattern towards winter with the occasional steps back towards autumn and AN.

    Yup. Makes logical sense.  Seasons in seasons. 

    • Like 1
  6. 4 hours ago, Tom12309 said:

    The comment about "expect a 4, get a 1 and expect a 1, get a 4 (+?)" is spot on as far as the public goes.  I think most people go hurricane=wind and if the wind forecast isn't nailed each and every time they say the usual "must be a nice job where you can be wrong all the time"... to which the only appropriate reply is, in my opinion, "you know how complex a fluid dynamic system you're dealing with, dumbass?" but I digress so the nut is how do you, outside of the people that have seen a few and intuitively sense what's coming, get the message across that it might look good or bad but it could get a lot worse so be ready?

    Much of this line of thinking comes from the way most people's brain's process things, particularly with regard to occurrences that are not necessarily set in stone and that they are unable to truly quantify.  People take whatever info they hear on the radio, or see on websites, twitter feeds, and the t.v., and that worst (or best) case scenario becomes instantly ingrained within their conscious. The weather/ news outlets are partially to blame as well.  I think that the producers and those behind the scenes know how easily the public can get hooked on an event, especially if the extreme outcome is laid out there.  When Michael was making landfall I was at the gym, and within a 90 minute span the storm went from cat 4 to cat 3...but, all that CNN was noting was that the storm made landfall "Near Cat 5". This headline went on for a few hours after that.  The whole, "Near Cat 5" was almost all they were focused on.  They WANTED so badly to keep using that has the headline.  Just say Category 4.  

    On the other hand there are reasonable minded people who are able to take the data and logically sort through what is given, and knowing that forecasting is not an exact science not become so biased towards one outcome or another.  

     

    • Like 1
  7. 43 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    It's one of those days where it gels ok in the sun but downright cold in the shade.  Had to scrape the car windshield this morning at 33F.

    Even at 11am its struggling to warm up with mid-40s in the valley.  Up higher we just cracked the low-40s at 1,500ft.  Setting us up for a hard freeze tonight.  

    This is seasons in seasons now.

    IMG_0792.PNG.414ca0885e72ca4cc02e1be388648674.PNG

    What is that image supposed to be that the route number is on?  Looks like a Vaseline jar.

    • Haha 1
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