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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. Well there's no such thing as a consensus. Ever. Not even at hour 0. But I thought we all understood that it's a subjective term...that consensus for a big event for the area the storm had reached by the time the model finished its run is not the same as having every exact detail figured out when those details will jump around for days to come...especially when 2 runs ago, the GFS was close to a complete whiff of the entire subforum. But I was wrong, we didn't all understand that. Maybe I wasn't clear enough.
  2. One of the reasons the biggies follow a consistent pattern is because they are so big...so the margin for error from a great event to a complete disaster is reduced.
  3. I was trying to make the point an hour ago that I was getting comfortable enough with the GFS/ECMWF model "consensus" for it to be honking time and I got absolutely raked over the coals by dryslot because he didn't like how the GFS drifted east and gave him less snow than the Euro
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