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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. I hope so, I didn't think you were bitching...people take me way too seriously. Except Kevin, he doesn't take me seriously enough. It's just the NAM - it's lovely, but until it is consistent with the total storm evolution of the globals, its weenie output is meaningless. Maybe that will be 12z! Who knows.
  2. that's cool, i think i figured that out too. i'm not worried about what the NAM shows, period - but if we are looking for model porn, this is plenty nsfw.
  3. Well, the nice thing is at least the overall l/w trough is closer to what the globals show. Still wouldn't want to bet my house on it being right.
  4. One possible driver of some tweaks in the exact evolution of this up until go time, keep an eye on strength, timing, precise trajectory. First blue circle is where the vortmax is at 6z hour 0.
  5. I've been playing prediction markets for the last year or so. It's amazing how many people just simply cannot get themselves to think in probabilistic terms.
  6. For fcks sake dude, you just dont give up. It moved back west at 0z. This 6z run seems to mostly have held serve but it did cut back on the western periphery. I'm not sure I care much either way, it's the ggem
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