JC-CT
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Everything posted by JC-CT
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18z rgem really stretches the low out again but it still is a good hit verbatim -
looks great if you throw out the ones that suck
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The frenchy was great hit for virtually everyone except our VT friends unfortunately
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Quick question, why was there ever any doubt of this? This is climatology 101.
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Look I hear you, and I hear Chris. But on the other hand, Kevin says it's an easy forecast. This is a real stumper.
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WOOO NAAAAAM (don't look at the 3k)
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I guess you guys wouldn't be a great match for each other
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I don't doubt this or anything, but intuitively, I would think that average 500hpa height anomaly might not be representative of how well each model / ensemble handles east coast cyclogenesis, let alone bombogenesis.
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I total agree with you that it's weird to be writing it off when they are riding it so close, except that I'm pretty sure with runnaway it's reverse psychology and I totally support it lol.
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I'm confluent in three languages
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confluence is just a state of mind
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Look, I love the sentiment, but I'd just rather be a little bit more confident that a large chunk of the subforum won't look back on this storm...unfondly.
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if it looks like you have any chance of that in 24 hours, he will have already come back with a new 3 paragraph post about a 60 spot somewhere
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I agree we are past the time of ignoring the OP in favor of the ensembles. But I don't think we can say that there's still not high sensitivity to the timing of the capture
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probably should be extra certain the cape doesn't rain first
