IWXwx

Coming very soon to a location near you

Just take your favorite forecast and run with it.

I always check IND's discussions as well as IWX's even though I'm well north of their forecast area. I just like to see how differently mets interpret basically the same data. Also, after living in Blackford and Grant counties for the first 45 years of my life, I was in the same boat as you in living so close to two NWS CWAs. EDIT: I feel like Hoosier had a pretty good explanation as to how there can be differences in forecasts in the other thread. He mentioned that temps aloft will cool slightly on Saturday, but having a warmer start may nullify the effects of slightly cooler temps aloft. Then you need to determine whether mixing heights projections are accurate....I'm glad I'm not a forecaster.

You got me curious about that comparison. Of course we all know about Xenia's F 5. Greene County, OH is 415 Square miles and Van Wert County is 410 square miles, so they are comparable in size. According to the Tornado History Project stats, Van Wert County experienced 33 tornadoes from 1/1/1950-8/24/2016, while Greene County had 17 tornadoes from 2/25/1956-5/26/2015. So Van Wert Co. has averaged exactly 1 tornado every 2 years, while Greene Co. has averaged 1 tornado every 3.48 years. I will have to check the other counties in this part of the subforum when I have more time, but 1 every 2 years in a county of that size, especially in this part of the country, seems fairly impressive to me.

I was just about to post that survey. It looks like one of the expected funnels actually made it to the ground. lol at the estimated wind speed, barely reaching severe levels. EDIT: Of course, it happened in Van Wert County, the tornado magnet of Ohio

What happened to the South Bend dude who was whining about it never getting to 60° ever again?

Yeah, it looked like an April game. They did not look like the Cubs that I know. That dude had them flailing at the plate. My wife is not a baseball fan but said that she would go if I bought a souvenir and a beer, so Ive been saving for quite awhile. The next time we go to the same game, I'll take you up on that offer. We decided to go on July 6th against the Reds.

Two tornadoes yesterday in Steuben County Indiana. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 747 PM EDT Sun Jun 10 2018 /647 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018/ ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 6/09/2018 TORNADO EVENT... .TORNADO # 1... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 105 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.90 mile Path width /Maximum/: 375 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 6/09/2018 Start time: 6:34 PM ET Start location: Angola, IN Start Lat/Lon: 41.6138/-85.0163 End date: 6/09/2018 End time: 6:40 PM ET End location: Angola, IN End_lat/lon: 41.6181/-85.0002 SURVEY_SUMMARY: A weak EF-1 tornado caused widespread extensive tree damage knocking down trees along railroad tracks. Minor roof damage to a few structures was noted here as well. .TORNADO #2... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 80 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.70 mile Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 6/09/2018 Start time: 6:30 PM ET Start location: Angola, IN Start Lat/Lon: 41.6050/-85.0271 End date: 6/09/2018 End time: 6:31 PM ET End location: Angola, IN End_lat/lon: 41.6084/-85.0417 SURVEY_SUMMARY: A weak, but multi-funnel EF-0, according to witnesses, touched down in an empty field and then intensified somewhat as it rapidly tracked east northeast removing a portion of a roof. It also caused damage to 2 barn structures as it crossed 150W and snapped/uprooted numerous trees before it lifted.

One on the ground in West Central IN?

Lol at the fog rolling in at Wrigley. Man I'm glad that I don't live near the Lake. I had tickets for this game, but decided to sell them and go in early July. Looks like that was a good decision. Alek better not let his dog off of its leash. He'll never see it again.

It looks like that maybe we had not only a brief random spinup, but it could be a multi-state tornado. lol

I scrolled back my GRLevel 3

There is some broad rotation. IWX is getting reports of a possible tornado touchdown south of Angola in Stueben Co. EMA is reporting damage in that area.They are getting a survey team together. EDIT: When I say they, I mean IWX

Most likely. I believe that St. Louis averages about three 100° a year.

lol at the new 12z 3km NAM. Actual radar vs. the model''s simulated radar. Must have been some kind of initialization problem.

...and yet another t-storm warning for my county today with no severe weather, just a nice summer's night thunderstorm. At least my spotters weren't playing whack-a-mole like we did with the pulse storms this afternoon. I'm thinking 4 warned storms in a 7 hour period with no severe has to be some kind of record.

I seriously don't know why you take them seriously. If you a more accurate forecast, just get it from here. There are some seriously good mets/hobbyists that post here.

IWX issued a head-scratching 3 t-storm warnings for my county in a half an hours' time for some pulse storms earlier this afternoon. So of course, I had to deploy spotters just so they could report no hail and no winds reported over 20 mph.

I hope you guys score. We have had four days of slight risk or better in 2018 in NE IN and have nothing to show for it. Three out of the four times, I questioned SPC for including our area when guidance didn't look great to begin with.

I may be mistaken, but I'm not seeing the parameters for severe in the FWA area this evening. The CAMS look much better for NW IN/ORD than over here. Can anyone tell me what SPC is seeing that I'm missing to have the slight risk extend into our area?

I was freaking out until I saw that it is the CFS (Can't Forecast S@#t).

LOL at this MI TV weather guy getting upset with his cohosts over the Year Without A Spring. https://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/trending-now-videowall/michigan-weatherman-freaks-out-on-complaining-co-hosts/g1dgsxzje6gw3q_rayjiyzlwib_ynmxv

I found these one year ago today. This year, the woods floor is still brown, it's 32° and snowing at 2 PM. Major suckage.

Yes, I was going to point out that the latest run doesn't depict the double digit negative anomalies after Sunday-Tuesday like it had in previous runs, although it still shows an average of below normal temps for the next two weeks.

I just clicked through the GFS and other than the next couple of days and again on day 9, it depicts below to well below normal temps right on through 384. 2018, the year without a Spring.