AmericanWxFreak

There are quite a few NAM like solutions in the GEFS members .

Damn 0z is gonna be a movie .

Wow…

Could be AI….

Bet the opposite, free money glitch.

I thought everyone was just glazing this dude... lol

Im out.

Kind of surprised, the roads around my place are not too bad actually. I think the dry aspect of the sleet really did help with removal. I’ll take the day off work anyway! .

Thankfully, practically no snow stuck to trees with this storm. So the ice won’t have that to cling to and add extra weight.

I used to look up to the guy, now I’ll just have a bad taste in my mouth when I see the name. SMH.

So will MD be up and running on Monday with this timing?

Username checks out. Cold with heavy salt accumulations here in EC

if I was a betting man…

Good thing the Apple Weather app still shows 20-24” for Ellicott City - I’m sure people won’t use that to further claim how “useless us weather people are” lol

Seems later then a lot of other guidance eh? .

Love that spot. I live in Turf Valley now, hoping the little bit of extra elevation helps me this weekend!

Barebones?

Early Happy Hour vibes - lets keep it rolling

The map is titled "Snow Accumulation" however.

Am I blind or did I see no mention of the 6z NAM? .

That is uh, not super inspiring...

12z HRRR shows the flooding concerns with some areas under the gun for an extended period of time -

New Day 2 Outlook pretty much unchanged - however, wording suggests the potential for our area to see an upgrade later on and insight into why they arent pulling the trigger yet... ...New England into the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast... Strong heating is expected across a broad, moist warm sector with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s east of the Appalachians by Thursday afternoon. This will result in moderate to potentially strong instability across much of the East Coast. The best chance for more organized storms will be from central Virginia northward where stronger shear will be present beneath 50 knot mid-level flow. A zone of potentially greater severe weather probabilities may be present across the Mid-Atlantic where the greatest instability/shear are expected to overlap. It appears the cold front will lag well behind with the majority of convection developing along a pre-frontal trough during the afternoon. Without the stronger frontal forcing, some concerns about convective coverage/intensity exist, precluding higher probabilities at this time. South of this area, mid-level flow will not be as strong. Therefore, more modest shear will limit greater storm organization. Nonetheless, modest (25 knot) shear will support some multicell storms capable of damaging wind gusts across North Carolina. Even weaker shear will be present across the southeast where strong instability is expected. Storms are not expected to be as organized here, but the strong instability and moist environment could support some water-loaded downdrafts capable of damaging wind gusts.