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FlatLander48

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Posts posted by FlatLander48

  1. 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

    I fully expect sleet here but I doubt we get freezing rain

    I'm hoping not, but the Nam being stubborn with it has me just a tad concerned. Have to see here in just a couple hours once the HRRR has the storm truly in it's wheelhouse and see how it looks on the hourly runs.

  2. 7 minutes ago, BretWx said:

    I remember using this back in the day (a few years ago) - I wonder if the data is outdated or...? The banner at the top says you need NWS login. Ha!

    https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/gefs_plumes/index.html?stationname=KAVL

    Although I think it's the same data, I use this site https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ and no mention of a update or NWS login.

     

    Oh wait no, the one I linked is in relation to the Nam I believe, and yours is GEFS.

    • Like 1
  3. i'm not sure what to think of the 18Z Nam. It's almost making me think the original LP isn't wanting to do the energy transfer, the part that acts as the wrap around has been looking better held together at the Gulf, almost as if saying it's trying to stay a Miller A instead of a hybrid. Might be a dumb description but it's strange to watch the past few Nam runs.

  4. 4 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

    I would rather he bring the cold, if it’s all the same to the rest of you.  :D

    Hey now, I really will bring out the lights out post :snowing: (To be fair, the models do actually kinda make home (Monroe) in a bad spot for that, that's why I'm headed up the hill)

    • Like 1
  5. 2 hours ago, eyewall said:

    I just officially checked out of this event. Not sure when there will be another chance if there is at all. The wait is always the hardest part after a brutal blow like this.

    gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.png

    I'll let that talk, plenty of potential overall over the next couple of weeks for something else to pop off.

    • Haha 1
  6. 14 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

    Also I think sometimes convection along the coast can reduce precip totals for the Piedmont. Something to watch.

    I could be mistaken, but that is generally a concern if everything remains at a positive tilt, whereas once this one get cranking I believe it goes negative tilt, so that doesn’t become as much of a concern. 

    • Like 2
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