patrick7032

A few marine zone forecasts for the "highest impact area" of the developing storm....and this is only a moderate storm....WINTER IS GONNA BE FUN.... PKZ197-051500- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 983 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE SUN EVENING. A 977 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 955 MB MON AFTERNOON THEN TO KODIAK ISLAND AT 965 MB TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-051500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 TO 30 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ130-051500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ <a name="PKZ138" class="zonename">PKZ138-051500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

"THE STORM"

I noticed the same thing....thinking the Aleutian Chain to about Kodiak and over to King Salmon in Alaska area may see 45-55 kts at sfc.

NNIIICCCEEE....another reason why we should have an 88D here in Cold Bay....GRANTED population of 60 wouldn't justify it....but seeing we have a10,450+ foot runway that serves as a test strip for most commercial aircraft manufacturing companies like Boeing....the primary hub for the chain....an emergency landing location for ANC and trans-oceanic Pacific flights....not to mention the marine waters in my area serves as most of the Salmon and Crab Fishing grounds which is probably Alaska's 3rd of 4th biggest industry....it would be a good "heads up" for what is coming through based on radar and VAD winds....but oh well....what can ya do....budget issue.

Something you don't see every day. At first I thought it was erroneous but it was present for 4 or 5 out of 6 frames in the loop. What I'm talking about is the lightning strikes. In the Yukon of Canada okay no big deal it happens. But strikes near Barrow, Alaska over the Arctic Ocean....that was surprising and there was a system up there I believe but still HIGHLY UNUSUAL.

Just what the Juneau area doesn't need....more heavy rain....that area has already experienced a prolonged period of intermittent flooding and the pattern definitely supports them getting "clocked" once again. Granted it's still a ways out there in the forecast range but the models have been persistent in showing this.

Welcome to the board....this section of the forum should get more active with posts in the winter. I try to keep up here at least once a week though, as do some friends of mine.

Illiama, Alaska (SW of Anchorage/N of Kodiak) had a PIREP (Pilot Report) or a TORNADO yesterday in rural area....

Definitely been a warm 8 days in the Aleutian Island chain as that ridge built over us. A few obs are below along with a weather summary so far. The records are highlighted in red and near records in pink. Cold Bay: PACD 170053Z 18015KT 10SM FEW025 SCT140 SCT250 19/13 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP103 BCFG DSNT NW-N ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST T01940128 PACD 172253Z 17019KT 10SM FEW006 BKN016 BKN060 BKN130 17/14 A2979 RMK AO2 DZB19E25 SLP087 CIG LWR S-SW P0000 T01670144 $ King Cove: PAVC 162356Z AUTO 11013KT 10SM CLR 18/13 A2987 RMK AO2 TSNO 58002 T01770133 10177 20144 SLP116 $ Port Heiden: PAPH 172136Z AUTO 01006KT 10SM CLR 19/11 A2986 RMK AO1 PNO PAPH 162356Z AUTO 34013KT 10SM CLR 18/09 A2989 RMK AO1 10180 20100 401800030 57010 PNO False Pass: PAKF 170101Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM OVC026 17/13 A2985 RMK AO2 SLPNO T01670133 Dutch Harbor: PADU 172258Z 20006KT 10SM FEW008 BKN050 21/14 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP074 BP T02060144

SXAK78 PACD 171245 RERCDB RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLD BAY AK 445 AM AKDT WED AUG 17 2011 RECORD TEMPERATURE OF 68F WAS SET ON AUGUST 16, 2011. THE OLD RECORD WAS 65F SET IN 1984. $$ *** AUG 11

SXAK78 PACD 121156 RERCDB RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLD BAY AK 356 AM AKDT FRI AUG 12 2011 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET... AT 4:59 PM AKDT THE TEMPERATURE AT THE STATE AIRPORT AT COLD BAY REACHED 67 DEGREES. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD OF 65 DEGREES SET IN 2001. $$ JAP AUG 11 Believe we were close to a record during Friday too....I'm checking on this now....when I flew out to Anchorage Thursday it was definitely "toasty"....which 67 doesn't sound like much to people back in the lower 48, and sure there is acclimation involved, but with the high sun angle that felt like 77....could take another day or to like that....

Nice 589dm ridge building into the Aleutians with a deepening trough in the Gulf of Alaska heading southeast.

Nice story about the Glacial Flood in Juneau last month with other stories linked to the page. I know someone at regional who has great photos of the event which I will post later. http://juneauempire.com/local/2011-07-21

For those of you that wonder if tornadoes occur in Alaska, yup they do. This location is in my zone and have been told by the locals that funnels occur at times in Cold Bay. It's also amazing how high the surge can get if the earthquake occurs "in the right spot". These images were taken from material I'm reviewing which I received from co-workers.

Yeah we even had a few sunny days this week and looks like a few more next week. Talk about a nice short wave ridge (see images). Will be interesting to see if one of these 500 lows head SE to the lower 48.

Thanks Beavis....I expect this thread will get a lot busier once the winter storms hit and we get HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS with 60+kt sustained zone forecasts with seas 30 feet plus. Until then will try to post few times a week with met data.

Some cool ACSL pics from 2 weeks ago....give it a few as internet is slow today.

Yeah will post the data in a few....only have 256k speed here so may take a few to load images.