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patrick7032

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by patrick7032

  1. I agree....spot on....if you loop the IR sat you can clearly see the remnant circulation about 50NM SE of Cape Newenham.
  2. ROFL....have heard of similar stories (- the ice) here....good think I'm built like a linebacker....to drag me she'll have to be blowing 120+....lol....
  3. The best one I seen was when Teammobeu trained me...we were launching around 55 mph. The sonde smacked the ground twice....then one of our little tracking buildings....and in all three occasions it was like watching someone come flying off the top ropes on WWE....thing had no tone...thought it was dead....and when we got back to the office it was transmitting. I smacked one off the ground 2 weeks ago...winds were only 7kt so I used the appropriate length of string...then right as I released we gusted over 20....figures....successful flight up to about 8mb....but for me....BRING ON THOSE 920mb lows with 100mph....
  4. Thanks Baro....but you get proficient in high wind launches very quickly out here....I don't even get excited now unless above 65mph....can't wait to launch in 80+ mph.
  5. Aside from MTBLANC will also do the same with regard to your request....we start to get trace snowfall amounts in about 2 weeks. Usually at night though or mixed during the day throughout the winter as even in January our avg. temp. is 38 for a daily max.
  6. I wonder if it'll be a windy week....hmmmm.... AKZ181-201300- ALASKA PENINSULA- INCLUDING...COLD BAY...SAND POINT 400 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN... .TONIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WIND 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. .TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WIND 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. .TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WIND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 50. .THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 40 TO 45. HIGHS AROUND 50.
  7. Nope not yet...is a balmy 49 deg right now...usually this time of year we hit low to mid 50s...add 10 deg if sunny to what it feels like....due to higher sun angle.

  8. Although there is a good amount of STORM WARNINGS, there is also this.... PKZ130-191500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 65 KT...DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 30 KT...SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
  9. Didn't think I'd see many of these obs in Cold Bay, let alone the cold air funnel and FC ob from last week.... PACD 180024Z VRB05KT 10SM SCT016CB BKN060 BKN090 10/06 A2953 RMK AO2 CB NE MOV E TCU S AND N PACD 172353Z 31007KT 10SM BKN017TCU BKN060 BKN085 11/06 A2953 RMK AO2 RAB45E51 SLP999 TCU ALQDS P0000 60000 T01060061 10111 20033 58004
  10. I WANT THAT LOW JUST NW OF ME....would be fun to launch in that....oh well....southeast Alaska and Canada especially towards MTBLANC may get blasted with some wind/rain.
  11. Pretty cool link....not a surprise as they have had 3 or 4 7.0 quakes since I got here in the west end of the chain. I want Pavlof to erupt....
  12. Still only a "mediocre" type storm, but a sign of things to come.
  13. That second pic is Frosty Mtn. which is a dormant volcano standing 6600' tall. The base is 5 miles southwest of me and the peak is 9 miles southwest of me. As you can see it has a glacier on it. This pic was taken from one of the roads just outside of town where it is about 2 miles closer to the mountain.
  14. Now it did get much better developed....wall formed then after 10 minutes funnel formed snow cone wedge funnel with 2 flanges mid level pointing 45 deg vertical....imagine sticking an arrow head (old metal one - cowboy days arrow) through an ice cream cone and having the edges poke out mid way...unfortunately I didn't even thing of grabbing my camera phone as I was too busy coordinating with the lead forecaster and flight services while maintaining a visual, and the web cam loop didn't update until I got off shift, but it did get twice as developed as it was in the second picture. The cloud was also stationary where as the others were moving north in the background. It developed on a lake/land breeze....and land over east side of bay had MIFG added into to the mesoscale baroclinicity...and then a long-lived meso vort was just 50 miles s of me which may have added a little sfc vorticity............
  15. Unusual event for this area, but I talked to another forecaster and flight services....and will post the images later....but we actually had a differential land/lake breeze wall cloud form that lasted for 5 to 10 mins before inducing a cone shaped COLD AIR FUNNEL....after conferring with someone from two other offices and reviewing the web cam images (although much better in person as expected) I issued a FC ob....there was no threat to anyone or any aircraft but because it was within my 10 mile zone for reporting the SPECI was issued. The obs are below. PACD 101650Z 00000KT 10SM OVC019 08/07 A3021 RMK FUNNEL CLOUD B43 FUNNEL CLOUD E49 AO2 COLD AIR FUNNEL DISSIPATED PACD 101644Z 00000KT 10SM FC OVC019 08/07 A3021 RMK FUNNEL CLOUD B43 AO2 COLD AIR FUNNEL E
  16. Looks like a nice "blocky" pattern may set up over the Bering Sea. Decent high amplitude pattern looks to "flatten out" somewhat next week.
  17. WOOO HOO....I'VE GOT 239 J/KG OF CAPE....better issue a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH for the Alaska Peninsula.....j/k....but still pretty unusual for out here....usually our "CAPE" season is with the slantwise instability in the winter systems....
  18. Today's 12z sounding from Cold Bay and Kodiak....we were the closest two sounding sites to the storm.
  19. I was off the next 2 days that's why I'm just getting back to you now. Below is the sounding you inquired about. I'll post today's 12z soundings from here and Kodiak when they get in the system in the next hour.
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