BuildingScienceWx

21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Good times 

Trying to decide where to go this afternoon 

monads don’t have many options , many are in shadow closer to Keene 

I have an house (open) in an extremely weenie spot (West Dover at 2300') if you want to stay the night. PM me if you're interested. You will need to take measurements and send me pics as part of the deal haha

3k going warm core low. Nuke, 

Just measured 2.0" here in Bethany, CT. 28.4/28.0. 

Heavy snow, visibility really reduced. Temp dropped quite a bit as well. 28.6/28.0

First flakes 5 minutes ago or so. Great flake size. 32.5/24.8F

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro op looks like dung to me so far. 

Huge changes by hour 120

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Stratton has some homes at 2400’

I have a place at 2300' in West Dover.... probably going to pound there and I'm unable to make it up there due to family obligations. Kills me as it's literally the reason I got the place!

27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

EPS came SE a bit too…these types of shifts don’t really matter for places like BOS but they do for ORH up into SW NH and perhaps even down to places like Kevin..esp if they continue another tick or two  

 

Will, thanks for sharing. What is the SE jog a function of? Is it related to the relaxed ridge downstream or the parent low weakening and/or both?

@The 4 Seasons hotel:

3.3" in Bethany, CT

1.6" in Bethany, CT. 28.8/28.4, moderate snow

Thanks for putting this together Steve, I'll play:

ORH   82"

BOS   53"

PVD   42"

BDL   66"

BDR   40"

PSF   84"

ALB   72"

BTV   80"

CON  72"

PORTLAND 64"

CAR   110"

KGINX   58" (You're house?)

KRAY   0" (Bolivia?)

KDIT   70" (The crazy man on the hill?)

HUBB   78" (Porn?)

DXR   68"

NYC   42"

TAN   45"

GON   32"

AUG   82"

DRYSLOT   75"

MITCH HOUSE   148"
 

5 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said:

Seems like the Winter 022-023 page is pretty much defunct.

I put this up in mid-November and I'm still feeling pretty good about it verifying overall. Don't ask for precise analogs; it's mostly just perception based on living here all my life and experience with torchy Novembers. Just for fun. Maybe a tad too AN for December but we'll see. Snowfall may not be so bad in between Lakes runners and big warmups. Maybe 2-4 AN  December with spells in the mid to upper fifties instead of sixties.

Guesses based on previous winters that start with a very warm November. Unscientific but probably more likely to pan out than the Old Farmers Almanac. 

Nov: 6-8 AN; Dec: 4-6 AN; Jan: 1-3 AN; Feb 5-8 AN; March 0-2 BN. In December we'll have some cold snowy outbreaks but a couple of multi-day spells of very high temps (generally low to mid-60s) will skew the month much above normal. The annual "grinch storm" is likely on the ticket. January will be closer to normal with a couple of inland runners with mild, rainy weather and maybe a coastal that will bring snow to much of the interior (and coast Boston northwards); February will be very mild and dry. Normal to below normal temps in March with significant snowfall throughout the region except for the Cape and islands.

Ssshhhhh

4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

There is a big push down the Hudson Valley. Albany is already 28/25 but it's quite a bit milder in S VT at a higher latitude.

Even the global models have picked up on this... pretty impressive. 

Yea my house at 2,300 ft in West Dover is 31.1F now

@The 4 Seasons 9.5" in Bethany.

Temp dropped 5 degrees in the last hour, down to 13.3F. 8.4" storm total as rates have really lightened up.

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

That's a pretty narrow weenie band...could make for a funny looking snowfall map

Yea, I've been under that band or on the fringe for the last several hours. Snow growth is still pretty poor. 7.6" with a temp at 18.9F

5.9" total, 0.9" last hour. Cold air is really advecting in. 19.9/18.1

Always nice to see a Mesoscale Discussion like this:

Snow and blowing snow. Under a good band right now. 22.5/20.8

4.5" new

Light to occasionally moderate snow. 24.6/23.7

1.9" new

Current radar

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

Low has deepened to 994 mb. The 0z Euro had it at 998 mb at 3 hours after initializing at 1002 mb. The Euro initialized at 1 am, so to be on track the low should be 998 mb by 4 am. It is 2am and the low is already much stronger than expected… 

Had a few roaring gusts already as snow rates increased. Visibility is down as we are now moderate snow with quite a bit of blowing snow. 25.3/24.1

S

1.4" new

Finally approaching moderate snow here.

0.5" new. 26.2/24.6

Flurries, 27.5F. Good luck everyone. Hoping for double digits here.