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Snowlover11

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  1. well the only good news here is that the precip should come in like a wall, so we should go from nothing to a moderate/heavy precip rate fairly fast.  thats when you hope we can overachieve for boarderline areas.

  2. 6 minutes ago, MikeS said:

    Upton just cut my totals for Saturday Night from this morning..went from 3-7 inches to now 2-4 inches

     

    same here went from 3-7 saturday night, additional 1-3” sunday

    now to 1 inch or less saturday followed by 2-4” saturday night, additional less than 1 inch sunday so 3-6”

    yet im under a warning for 5-9”:arrowhead:

  3. 1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

    I know, I said that.  I included the 10:1 map, as that shows how much snow is "falling" to illustrate that it's not "mostly rain."  Kuchera shows about 2" and I think that's underdone on the model verbatim, as column temps are below 32F on the model until the surface and given decent intensity (once snow starts accumulating, subsequent snow is not affected much by above 32F surface temps, as the actual surface is now 32F snow/slush), even NYC will accumulate maybe 2-3" from that 4.3" of snow falling.  That's my informed opinion.  I'm  not a met, but I guarantee you a PhD in chem eng'g and 30+ years of doing hard science including a lot of work in heat transfer and physical chemistry phase transitions (crystallizations and melting - with several patents in the field for organic molecules) and a lifetime of observing high intensity snow accumulating when people said it wouldn't (think most March/April storms), means a little bit.  This is not really a "meteorology" question (assuming the model is correct and no warm nose aloft, just above 32F at the surface), but a physical chemistry/rate question.  

    my apologies i misread you’re point.

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