Deck Pic

This band is super legit.  Potentially the first low viz band imby. This is a pretty bad way to run a lull. 

21 minutes ago, yoda said:

Nice.  What was your call for DC again?  I believe you called for around 6?  Or am I wrong?

 Went 4-5” yesterday as a final call. We’ll most likely top that measurably. But I don’t like revisions. 

31/27, -SN, 2.9”

Secondary death band never fails. 

Downtown main roads are acquiescing. 

Nam'd like a boss

The heavies incoming

30/27, -SN, 1.0"

Looking forward to staying up for the lull that isn't actually ever going to happen.

18zgfs

I just loaded up my generator with sour diesel. 

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Steady light snow here in upper NW DC.

You moved to Tenleytown?

34/23 -SN

On November 15, 2018 at 1:02 PM, Deck Pic said:

11/15/18 - 2.0"

Seasonal Total - 2.0"

1/12-13/19 - 14.25"

Seasonal Total: 16.25"

35/16

1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said:

Heavy frost, overcast, 28.5/15

H***rd, I’m pretty bullish on both our backyards. 

32/17 

Totals are overrated, but if I get less than 3” I’ll be despondent. 

22 minutes ago, Ji said:

Gfs is the last model I'd use 12 hours out

This. The GFS is irrelevant.  There will be death banding in the usual spots. 

5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Normally i totally ignore the srefs but 21z is hugworthy so I'm in.

Yes...once you get into nowcast time, you hug the outliers, and dismiss the bad runs using faulty logic

34/16 here in UHI hell

Final and Only Call - 

For DC proper - Low-Medium confidence

Noon to 7 pm - Light snow becoming steadier toward sunset - Temps in the mid 30s falling to low 30s

7pm to 7am - Snow, moderate to heavy at times, Temps - upper 20s

Composite radar for tomorrow evening

Bang!

1 minute ago, mappy said:

I'm gonna put a jar out to collect and then melt the snow afterwards to see what my total is, really curious this storm to see how well (or don't) i do with ratios. 

I'm looking forward to your "Wow, I have 4.5".  I expected almost nothing.  This is a pleasant surprise!"

I'm really only interested in Euro QPF, and I suspect the storm will be juicier than euro depicts....Folks on the edge of the 0.25" contour will outperform model output