forkyfork

july is always supposed to be above normal?

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

So which June weather pattern shows up in the Arctic this year? The record dipole pattern of 2007-2012 or the more favorable lower pressure regime of 2013-2016. The other option is an intermediate pattern between those two extremes.

the gfes is solidly on the dipole train going into june

that is a pretty favorable melt pattern after day 7. we'll see if it's real

why would you post a 6z run four hours after the 12z run came out

what's a mehham

hotter just west of boston

that's june through august. one of nyc's warmest summers on record

after may 05 this happened: 

if this euro run were translated to february we'd be looking at 2-4 feet of snow in a week

those maps shouldn't even exist

there's support for an eastern ridge to end the month. details TBD. sorry you don't like it

yeah let's look for whatever cold silver linings we can

haha

lowest dec volume on record

c'mon, don't you guys want to read day 10 gfs updates from metfan?

the thickest ice is supposed to be along the canadian/greenland arctic coast and it's well offshore instead. it's in a prime place to be exported out the fram

42 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

This is the latest I've seen the ESS stay open like this. We're now 400k+ below the previous record on extent.

IMO what's happening right now is just as wild as the 2012 min

what a crazy melt season. i guess these things are more prone to happening with thinner ice

some good animations/graphs here

http://sites.uci.edu/zlabe/arctic-sea-ice-figures/

18 hours ago, frontranger8 said:

You're confusing this with the musings of exceptionally early mins (before 9/5) we hear every year.

You think we'll see a min after 9/12?

what difference does it make? we got to second lowest without an extended summer dipole. that's more worthy of discussion 

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

CT SIA (or really NSIDC area) is something like 400k above 2012 actually.

 

 

i was using the amsr2 numbers from wipneus 

area is only 44k above 2012 at this point

2 hours ago, chubbs said:

Big area losses in the CAB the past couple of days. With the stormy pattern forecast to persist for the next week, may get open water close to the pole.

-285k in two days

not having CT area data really stinks. i hate using extent

it's trended warmer

vs