BullCityWx

On 10/30/2018 at 8:24 AM, Orangeburgwx said:

I like this forecast, shades of 09'-10:

http://firsthandweather.com/3993/2018-2019-winter-outlook/

He/she doesnt seem to understand carolina climatology.

Look over rowan county.

Make that now NW34G56 at BUY

Burlington last hour NW31G51

Just now, WxKnurd said:

Thanks.  I knew it had to be close to 50 mph with some of those gusts.

It was enough to trigger a special obs on the METAR so it had to be impressive. 

22 minutes ago, WxKnurd said:

Very strong gust now, will be interesting to see with the airport records.

8 minutes ago, Snovary said:

Just a question how effective are the 850 winds at filtering down to the surface in a extra tropical scenario vs a normal tropical cyclone? Looking at the 10m winds it doesn't seem like many are getting to the surface. But obviously wouldn't take much. 

925 is more of what you're looking for. 

Michael is only four MB weaker than Andrew when he came on shore.

1 minute ago, Lookout said:

thought this tweet by ryan was noteworthy

 

Yeah, it seems like most of if not all of south georgia is a pecan farm. this cant be good for that.

headed to the state fair a week from saturday. hopeful for seasonal temps.

33 minutes ago, Isopycnic said:

Looks like another backdrop front next weekend (10/5) but no relief from humidity on the horizon according to the 06z gfs. 

Setting up to potentially be an all time warm month, even if the back half of October is just normal.

GFS just cancelled fall through at least October 10th

8 hours ago, Isopycnic said:

5.13” between 6 and 8am yesterday. Major flooding and even a tornado warning for a couplet that caused debris to drop and power flashes. 

Station at Duke gardens was over half a foot. 

No sign of fall through 10/5 on 12z GFS. Hottest September on record for KCLT is a near lock.

That is just west enough that is probably the worst case scenario for Raleigh east, maybe even Durham. 

She's not going to be able to turn quickly or sharply if she strengthens too much. 

1 minute ago, Wow said:

I know we've heard the name Hugo a few times with this one, but if the Euro is anywhere near correct, this would be far, far worse than Hugo for WNC with the flooding.

Yeah. I think the winds would actually not be as big of an issue because she's just so slow. People forget that Hugo made it to Charlotte six hours after landfall. 

31 minutes ago, gearhead302 said:

You have got to stop with the Hugo comparisons.  Hugo went through the leeward islands north and then west and slammed into Charleston and rocketed west and then north.  If we have learned anything from models runs,  one single one shouldn't be taken as gospel.

As someone who lived through Hugo, I swear I don’t know what he’s seeing. You’re right though, every storm is it’s own storm.

The HMON corrected about 200 miles west and had her inland over Horry County

19 minutes ago, jburns said:

We better hope that the two possible systems trailing Florence don't develop and follow a similar path. One of my earliest weather memories was in 1955 when hurricane Connie went through and was quickly followed by hurricane Dianne. The flooding was horrendous

Funny this is the 100 year anniversary of the 1918 flood. 

Georgetown -> Lake City -> Heath Springs this run. 

German makes landfall almost directly over MHX at 951MB next Thursday.

Been poking around the Maps and it looks like I’ll do okay for this area.

On 7/31/2018 at 6:56 AM, frazdaddy said:

Welcome to the neighborhood sir!

Thanks man! I’ve been on a roll lately, hope I brought the mojo. I couldn’t convince the girlfriend to live in Hillsborough or Roxboro. 

On 7/30/2018 at 6:09 PM, FallsLake said:

Your in west Durham?

Yes sir, about two miles from the OrCo line, just off 751. 

Now that I'm living in Duke Forest, I have no idea what to expect.