paweather

Cheer up time.

Whatever tweaks needed I think it worked today, IMPLEMENT IT.

hmmmm........That won't work for me. LOL. Just a JI ban will do it.

I agree, Point and Counterpoints are all good. It is all healthy discussions. But if I get a car topper on Sunday someone may have to ban me.

HAHA. I think everyone is unsure of this storm, no doubt.

Not bad.

From PSU I like this: There are 2 obvious camps emerging in the guidance... and it involves how they are handling the upstream feature in New England. Those that are diving the vort there further southwest are suppressing the flow (NAM/Euro) and causing the trough to remain more positive with a more suppressed east solution WRT the coastal. Then a camp that is less suppressive with that feature (GFS/PARA/ICON). The GGEM/RGEM are kind of in between and so we see probably the ideal result for 95. There is honestly no way to know for sure what is going to happen with that feature in New England, but it holds the key here IMO.

LOL. OK Model Madness......I'll take the Para for $500 please.

LOL. Radar Hallucinations will be high. Just Yesterday we were pretty much bullseye to now most fringed in these trends today. It will be a fun couple of days. Banking on the ICON and NAM to keep the hopes alive. GFS as well, it wasn't bad but such a cutoff.

I'll just take the ICON for the win for this sub forum. Trends are not in our favor right now.

CMC 72 good, it leaves at 78 and 84. Congrats Maryland after 72.

Just gotta hope for the Primary to do it's job. And then Sunday night look out the window to see if your in the coastal party.

Well fear not CMC is up next.

What a cutoff. This is going to be an agonizing storm.

I do too, but Miller B's stink.

Congrats S PA:

Verbatim yes, but you have to think a low that close to the coast is going to throw back more moisture than modeled.

There we go:

Deform bad at 78 wow some will be happy and miles away will be sad.

The Primary has been modeled for over a week now. We aren't losing that feature.

I think we should feel the most confident of a good front end thump.

The ICON has to be right at least every now and again.

HAHA was just going to post this:

Yes for sure it is not the run where the backend over delivers but it is a good thump. At 84 the Primary is still delivering the goods out in Ohio. The NAM followed somewhat of the EURO so we have to watch the coastal it is no longer tucked in as it seems more progressive and goes east. Miller B's are so much fun!

So we get back into the groove from the EURO: