paweather

When we had those earlier Model runs it was snowing into Tuesday. The one other trend we are seeing in with the models is no mixing issues in S PA like they were showing in earlier runs.

We just need the tuck rule for this to be a long duration those model runs earlier really spoiled me with what looked like a coastal stall around the benchmark.

WOW. Insane. The 12z runs today not bad at all.

Not bad, not the monster but better than 0z:

South trend is over at least for now.

Me thinks this is going to be good.

You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em Know when to walk away and know when to run You never count your money when you're sittin' at the table There'll be time enough for countin' when the dealin's done

Primary seems south at 54.

Yep already out to 48. Light snow in the burg 7am Sunday.

Now you tell the truth! Where I have been drinking for 30 years! FHS is getting bread and milk right now.

Cheer up time.

Whatever tweaks needed I think it worked today, IMPLEMENT IT.

hmmmm........That won't work for me. LOL. Just a JI ban will do it.

I agree, Point and Counterpoints are all good. It is all healthy discussions. But if I get a car topper on Sunday someone may have to ban me.

HAHA. I think everyone is unsure of this storm, no doubt.

Not bad.

From PSU I like this: There are 2 obvious camps emerging in the guidance... and it involves how they are handling the upstream feature in New England. Those that are diving the vort there further southwest are suppressing the flow (NAM/Euro) and causing the trough to remain more positive with a more suppressed east solution WRT the coastal. Then a camp that is less suppressive with that feature (GFS/PARA/ICON). The GGEM/RGEM are kind of in between and so we see probably the ideal result for 95. There is honestly no way to know for sure what is going to happen with that feature in New England, but it holds the key here IMO.

LOL. OK Model Madness......I'll take the Para for $500 please.

LOL. Radar Hallucinations will be high. Just Yesterday we were pretty much bullseye to now most fringed in these trends today. It will be a fun couple of days. Banking on the ICON and NAM to keep the hopes alive. GFS as well, it wasn't bad but such a cutoff.

I'll just take the ICON for the win for this sub forum. Trends are not in our favor right now.

CMC 72 good, it leaves at 78 and 84. Congrats Maryland after 72.

Just gotta hope for the Primary to do it's job. And then Sunday night look out the window to see if your in the coastal party.

Well fear not CMC is up next.

What a cutoff. This is going to be an agonizing storm.