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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Does anyone have 850 maps? Curious if it lessens the second wave?
  2. Deluge of white. Keeps tracking fun. Nam almost back up to the plate.
  3. Unless I am forgetting something, the euro vs the world with snow that far East. Can you tell why it is different?
  4. Best of the HH runs for most in the east half of the state.
  5. Two close misses on the 18Z GFS for next weekend and early the following week. More tracking coming!
  6. 4-6" seems like a kings bounty right now. I would take it.
  7. Can you ask her to release a balloon in the air so we can get a sample of 925?
  8. That is what makes public snow maps so hard for people to grasp, again ala Trainings comments. Joe average Businessman (WFH or otherwise) is not going to understand how 6-10" of snow is now down to scraps. But it can go both ways. If NWS drops WSW's here and the models were dead wrong, like Jan 25, 2000, people do not understand how it went from flurries to 12-18". This event is a lot better than sunny and cold so still going to track and watch for changes.
  9. Yep, humbling for forecasting. I kept it to myself for the most part so no 'Where is my one foot of snow" from friends (Sort of similar to Trainings story) but still very disappointing at this point. I feel for the most part we did a good job in tracking so far. Surprised more NWS and paid mets did not catch on to the 850 low/surface wave that hangs on west of the apps.
  10. Not doubt. But will still look for a reversal because it's what I do. Track.
  11. No, its not. Every other run in HH has been less for me. GFS has been the best with Icon right there as well. Rgem and Nam were basically ground whiteners.
  12. Yea, Franklin similar. And these numbers are up there with the best for HH so far.
  13. Well that is what happens, quick flip, but it was snowing quite hard over you for that one panel. I think some of the more smoothed over snow maps are a bit better than pivotal right now.
  14. The pivotal maps shows you getting less than 1" (goes over 1" with late snow Monday afternoon). Several runs now where I question it what is going on with pivotal figures in close situations.
  15. GFS is great for the Western 1/3 of PA. Going to be some gaudy snow maps figures there.
  16. GFS has precip breaking out mid afternoon for some.
  17. I am going to need the Mesos to show something more than 1-2" before I feel steady.
  18. Rgem really regressed. Not going to post the map but the 850 is touching NY. Taint in Erie.
  19. I agree the Nam is probably overdone but if it has the right idea as to evolution, mainly bringing the 850 low up into S/W PA, we are not going to have a fun time with this. Bob Chill just said he thinks the Nam has the right idea so not everyone is just tossing it aside. I think we are all still getting some snow either way.
  20. We already did the Nam PBP. I will try not to delete it this time.
  21. Icon is going to be more forgiving with the inland low. More snow for all.
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