Calling anything on this snow map a jackpot is like playing the nickel slots at Penn National...one "coin" at a time...and hitting the top prize of $10. LOL
Wow, did not realize it was not as cold over there. Off my game on a Sunday. MDT did break freezing for the first time in 2023 and first time since Dec 29th. A 9 day streak.
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A chilly 22 this AM. Most meso and Global models are very similar in their depiction of snow chances in the 24-36 hours. A stripe of snow on the northern edge of quickly a escaping wave that exits the US around the VA/NC border and heads ENE. Parts of the Laurels through the Northern areas of the LSV in the LV seem to be the favorites right now. Here is the 3K Nam depiction which closely matches others. The temps do rise above freezing when the precip.
MA LR having that same "Twitter Met's hurting the hobby" discussion we had here a month or two ago.
Yea, that graphic is perplexing when looking at it in a historical viewpoint. It is one thing to get mix into SE PA but not Ohio and Canada. Just no source for a deepening low to drag cold air in from.
0Z Euro has a 996 Low off the Carolina's and it is raining in Canada. More complicated than this as a day earlier the "parent low" had driven to the Great Lakes and cooked the entire East Coast but if any cold air was available, we may have been able to recover after the transfer to the coast....but not even close on this panel. That low is off the DelMarVa 48 hours later and much of PA has heavy rain and temps near 60.
This snow map (on the ground) is as much of a witness for temp issues as any other piece of evidence. Saw this on the MA board. Current temp issues have to play a part in this, and the lack of snow is going to make getting questionable cold down harder than we are used to this time of year. If a system pulls down air from New England it does not help on some of those progs.
The King and his or her whole court (much of it.) A huge shift from yesterday so have to let the work itself through the system as to it being valid but not ideal news.
EC is light rain showers for Sunday night (light snow showers north of I80)
For next week the Paweather 540 line is already North of PA by Thursday. it was in MD at the same time on the GFS. Chicago here we come.
Surface temps are just a degree or two lower on the GFS vs. icon though neither go below freezing in your area. Just a prog vs reality as to what will eventually happen.