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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    There were some runs a day or two ago (forget which suite) where that first warm front almost totally missed the LSV so yea, worrisome.
  2. Bubbler86
    Excuse the mouse drawn arrow. LOL
  3. Bubbler86
    Great thing about the 12Z Nam is no major washout after the snow except far Eastern PA...some light rain then dryslot.
  4. Bubbler86
    There are definitely signs of cold in the extended (models) albeit some 40's next week. Whether it comes to fruition is out of my pay grade.
  5. Bubbler86
    12Z Nam. Blizz is getting pounded and jsut a cloud day here with the risk of the WAA tongue missing some. Temps are just below freezing at this time. Rouville gets in the goods on the next frame though...FWIW 48 hours out. Some mis in far S/E LSV at hour 54.
  6. Bubbler86
    12Z HRRR incoming Wed AM
  7. Bubbler86
    I would never want anything like that either. Lots of burst pipes, lives (human and animal) lost, etc. I mentioned it because it was so extreme.
  8. Bubbler86
    There was a run of the EPS (the control I think) which showed temps in the -20's in the LSV within the next few weeks...as is the MDT area stays 45 or below for the entire 6Z run with only 3-4 days in the 40's.
  9. Bubbler86
    If it was going to be cold today, I would appreciate the plowing but as it is, this is mostly so they get to use their toys. Ha. The well-travelled roads are just wet, this is the development roads I am speaking about.
  10. Bubbler86
    Plows down....they are plowing the 1/2-1" on the road. Plowable!
  11. Bubbler86
    About 1 1/2" here...mod snow. Roads caved.
  12. Bubbler86
    Still have October to look back on.
  13. Bubbler86
    With a low in the mid-west that seems to be our fate either way. No one I saw posted the Icon, can you blame them after how it handled this system, but it snowed for quite some time at 18Z. Dawn to dusk in the LSV.
  14. Bubbler86
    Enjoy the event.
  15. Bubbler86
    Your second paragraph is what we saw several times over the last few years....the low went far enough west to have that first wave bypass us down south due to the angle of attack/width of the WAA band.
  16. Bubbler86
    We are over half inch of rain and may get close to 3/4. It is pouring.
  17. Bubbler86
    Something else out west today. A potential forum divider next week!
  18. Bubbler86
    Flurries and sprinkle mix here now. 41
  19. Bubbler86
    Always like to hear plowable! Light snow showing in the radar to our south and west. 38/33 here now.
  20. Bubbler86
    NYC will probably have the same so you doomed even if at your second home :-)
  21. Bubbler86
    The points about no cold air being around are really spot on. Just no room for error....still fun to try and find a needle in the haystack (in a realistic way) sometimes vs. just giving up.
  22. Bubbler86
    PS, congrats on the nice win last night.
  23. Bubbler86
    The GFS has a nice 1" or so tack on at the end for the LSV. Right at rush hour tomrorow!
  24. Bubbler86
    32 here....the radar estimated precip is a bit snowier in southern VA than the HRRR or 3K had it. Speaking strictly for myself, being at 32 already with a DP of 28, I am still not thinking we get much to accumulate in my area even if it does fall as snow. The HRRR has quite a bit more mixed in its panels than it did last evening. The precip coming in right after the temps max out is not great timing. HRRR has most in the LSV getting into the 40's.
  25. Bubbler86
    They are lined up like a Choo Choo train. I personally am not feeling tomorrow to be much, but the rest are cautiously exciting and it's the best 4-5 prospective storm lineup in a while IMO (on the maligned GFS.)
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