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96blizz

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Posts posted by 96blizz

  1. Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

    Look at the precip blooming way out ahead over the finger flakes already! Might be snowing in SYR in the next hour... Also NE flow of Ontario into Niagara and Orleans is very well defined already... 2bcef0fe89143d77f08a7a3e04fc965e.gif


    .

    Fine flakes here in skaneateles. 

    Cute, really - knowing what’s coming. 

  2. 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

    The FV3 literally took every other model out there to school!  Finally after almost giving me a coronary last Wed nights 00Z the NAM is finally in the cone, lol!  WE all got NAMMED, lol!  The FV3 beat the livin crap out the EURO for sure!

    If you GIF the last 18 runs of the FV3 it’s amazing. 

    I suspect during the government shutdown NCEP borrowed the old version of the Euro and plopped it in there. 

    Only rational explanation. :ph34r:

    • Haha 2
  3. Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said:

    When all is said and done, the models had the right idea a week ago and were steadfast since!

    I will have to share my Guidelines for snowstorms if you haven’t read it. 

    I can be the villain in some places because we all know the SE ticks precede the NW climb back to the original thinking. Especially when it comes to the Euro. 

    • Like 1
  4. 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

    We have a H850 ket starting to ramp up now from the South right from the GOMEX!!

    tadv_sf.gif?1547893492135

     

    It’s not impossible the QPF is underdone for some. Euro runs a few days ago had over 2” in spots. Even the best meso models can miss this with deepest banding and frontogenic forcing. 

    I foresee multiple 30” plus lollis. 

    • Like 2
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