96blizz

2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Worth noting both the Euro and EPS stepped back at 6z. 

This’ll be piles of snow. 
 

Modeled snow of course. But piles of it. 

Even better here. Tons of moisture is right. Sheesh 

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

that final wave that comes up on the gfs looks to be loaded with moisture. Can see stronger s/w in the southwest, but that storm should be a bit further south than 6z.

Yeah man. Damn. 

This could be a beaut. Good news is that the phasing aspects are not that far away on the models - and that is so huge for us downstream…

Early GFS looks like another possible SE tick is coming…

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Tidbits has 6z Euro up to 90 hours now?!

Sweet!!!!  This too!  
 

did you happen to see how long it took out to come out post run?

Just now, tim123 said:

What is safe stand for

 

Southwest Flow Event. 

1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said:

6z eps 

Just wanted to say thank you for constantly and consistently posting these maps for the forum!!

5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

You can get them for free from the COD website. Still a bit too far NW for those outside of the BUF-ROC-ART corridor.(You can find all the individual ensembles as well.)

Thank you. I like the look given where the Ukie and Euro ops are. 
For now, the blend is our friend. 

Track of the GEFS low seems to mirror the Op and another tick SE.  No big jump as of now and looks like the Euro (not Op) and CMC ensembles. I don’t have weatherbell for GEFS snow maps. 

6z GFS. Lock it in. 

3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

18z gefs has more cutters in the spread vs 12z

Of f*cking course it did. 

Nice to have a solid idea of what’s coming this week!!!

Just now, wolfie09 said:

I feel like the ukie has been to far SE with every event this year lol

It’s sucked. With everything. Embarrassingly so. 
 

I kinda like where we sit. 
 

In other words, I’m prepared to be let down again. 

GFS is a messy rain/ice storm. 
CMC buries us. 
Ukie buries south and east of us. 
 

Consensus starting early. 

1 minute ago, tim123 said:

This is what our forum needs

And still snowing. It’s a huge hit. Would be an incredible long duration snow. We are due, right?

7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Looks pretty amped. Look out

It’s a huge hit. 

Look at that train of precip behind this!

CMC at 120

2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

It takes very specific and unusual conditions as you know. Difficult to predict 24 hours out. 
it’s a cutter anyway. They rarely come  SE at this time frame. My bet? Warm rain like the models have had for weeks. 

As tombo pointed out the CMC is looking good. Long way to go!  This one seems different with such a strong cold press possible. 

Ugh. That’s awful, nasty weather you can’t do shit in. F this!

9 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

gfs is going to be an ugly run. Lead clipper wave weaker and further north, to much energy phasing out west

Cold is trying to press hard now. Could salvage it for many. 

12 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

06Z GFS and Icon are North and West again. I can already see the writing on the wall. I am going to step out and avoid typing too much this weekend to save you guys from my frustration. I will be browsing though. Have a great weekend, all!

Maybe it is your unparalleled pessimism that’s doing this Matt!!!  Cmon man!  Snap out of it!!!

Today is the day we turn it around and watch that front sag south and wallop us!!!