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nycsnow

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Everything posted by nycsnow

  1. nycsnow
    Should be some nasty winds in here let’s see what we can mix down
  2. nycsnow
    You can legit hear the roar above us in some of the gust
  3. nycsnow
    Just checked hrrr says we should be gusting 45-55 give or take right now 50-60 on nam most models are within few mph of eachother. This is the most consistency I’ve seen in a while models have had this for a week now
  4. nycsnow
    Even hrr has gust around 70 after midnight.
  5. nycsnow
    Lots of gust 40-50 showing up now https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mtr&obs=true
  6. nycsnow
    00z nam says we should start seeing gust 50-60 in 7 minutes let’s see lol
  7. nycsnow
    Wall of water coming up jersey shore should see some nice gust starting in that
  8. nycsnow
    Actually had my strongest gust so far today under this rain. Upton was mentioning rain will mix winds down
  9. nycsnow
    00z nam looks like it might be over 100 at 850
  10. nycsnow
    Yeah last 30 min or so you can def hear the winds above surface
  11. nycsnow
    00z hrr more impressive has more widespread 70+ gust
  12. nycsnow
    Most models show some gust 50+ starting 10 or so let’s see there’s a lot of 35-40s starting to pop up
  13. nycsnow
    Just finished dinner waiting on dessert and the winds! The sustained winds are so far more impressive then gust atm
  14. nycsnow
    Sustained winds picking up again gust aren’t there impressive yet
  15. nycsnow
    So I’m not the only one staying awake nice
  16. nycsnow
    Starting to see some gust approaching 45-50 now
  17. nycsnow
    Keep us updated with this!
  18. nycsnow
    Noticeable uptick in winds last 45 minutes or so
  19. nycsnow
    Upton thinks opposite
  20. nycsnow
    .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... A highly anomalous system will impact the area the next 24 hours as a vigorous upper low over the Mid Mississippi Valley begins to take on negative tilt as it approaches the Mid Atlantic states on Friday. The will drive a strengthening low- level jet up along the eastern seaboard and into the area tonight ahead of an approaching cold front. At the nose of the jet (80 kt), moderate to heavy rainfall will work in across NE NJ, the Lower Hudson Valley, and the NYC metro between 9 pm and midnight, before working across Long Island and CT during the early morning hours. A second round associated with the pre- frontal trough will then follow during the early morning hours, exiting eastern LI/SE CT toward daybreak or shortly thereafter. Moderate showers will then linger into the afternoon in response to the approaching upper low. It may take until late afternoon to exit the area. Also, can not rule out an isolated thunderstorm with some elevated instability. PW values approach 1.5 inches overnight, which per SPC climatology would be a record for the date (Dec. 25). Rainfall across the region will average close to 2 inches with some of the higher elevations north and west across the Lower Hudson Valley, NE NJ, and interior CT receiving 3 plus inches. This combined with a melting snowpack of up to half a foot will likely produce flooding across the region. A flood watch remains up for all but Long Island through Friday morning. The aforementioned low-level jet will translate to wind advisory level gusts (46-57 mph) across the interior with high wind warning gusts at the coast (60 to 70 mph). There is always uncertainty to how much of the winds can be brought downward, especially with a shallow mixed layer. However, winds right off the deck will be on the order of 60 to 70 kt. Heavy rainfall will also aid in the downward transport of momentum. Strongest winds will be be during the early morning hours, diminishing across far eastern areas toward 8 am.
  21. nycsnow
    Sustained winds are getting stronger gust are pretty much same 30-35
  22. nycsnow
    Tornados down south. Pretty sure reed timmer is chasing there
  23. nycsnow
    18z nam now has 80mph gust touching costal areas
  24. nycsnow
    Lot of gust 30-35 within last hour along shores... lga with 37. Models have gust 40-50 coming through next couple Hours till the real show tonight
  25. nycsnow
    Winds def picking up
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