LovintheWhiteFluff

The vast majority of the public really doesn't care if a map they put out says 14 inches when it may winds up being 10. They get their weather reports from the news or online. Most people only want to know if they are going to work/school, what time it starts, and if they need to go food shopping. That's it. I'd venture to say it's more important for the public to know 0 inches to 6 inches than 10 or 14. What exact harm is happening to the public if they say 8 and it winds up being 4? Unlike some people, the pros don't change their forecast model run to model run when a slightly quicker transfer can lead to 14 inches instead of 8 inches.

This is the best one I've seen so far. lol

12z GFS was snowier but let's see if it holds now.

We probably won't know until Saturday or Sunday since a hour or two quicker transfer means a huge difference in ptype.

They said in their write-up that they were looking at the ensembles which were closer to benchmark. They think the transfer will happen sooner.

Probably because it's the end of the season with nothing else going on, and we are a board full of weather enthusiasts.

Later in the runs there is a huge high over the eastern part of the US, so it never gets here. Haven't seen the midday Euro yet so can't say anything about that run.

You can see here the path it has been taking and the direction it would need to go to landfall where the center of the cone would be.

Still seems to be generally NNE (edit: last few frames are definitely E) https://www.wfla.com/video/wfla-com-wobble-tracker/adst9VARmWrkeNkr/

Someone posted this yesterday. Gives a great view of the movement. https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking-the-tropics/live-wobble-tracker-changes-in-hurricane-miltons-path-could-have-huge-impacts/amp/

I almost sent this out. Lol

963mb is cat 3 pressure.

The second picture is further up the road but it looks bad either way.

The blue house on the weather channel is getting pummeled with waves.