Just logging on to mention this. It was talked about in the New England forum about the Euro as well...models may be struggling a bit with the location of any kind of coastal development. Models "chasing" convection to the east. I think (hope) there is some upside if we see a more consolidated coastal low.
I’m in until the NAM run. Then I’ll probably be out again! Seriously though it’s been fun to track at least. Happy for the DC and south crew, it’s been awhile for them.
It's happened before that everyone is playing catch-up. It's tough right now...do you trust the trends and forecast accumulations county wide? Could just as easily bump back the 20 miles and current forecasts are fine. Should be interesting!
The low doesn't necessarily look more north to me on the 12Z GFS, but it looks like it expanded the moderate/heavy precip about 20-30 miles north. Just keep making small moves, won't take a lot more now!
Pretty big jump northwest on the Canadian. Maybe the Euro can make a small move in that direction. Not sure we are out of the game yet for Jan 03 at least for the SE crew.