weatherbo

Some serious lake enhanced snow going on, temp down a degree to 24.  Flake size small, visibility almost non.

Storm starting to crank, upgraded to blizzard warning.

32 inches in the point and it's still going to be snowing.  Cloudy and calm with a few flurries.  Temp rose from 12 to 21 overnight.

4 minutes ago, bowtie` said:

When the chickens start staring at you and asking for the barbeque sauce, let us know.

It's quite the opposite.

Some partial clearing has allowed the temp to plummet to 13.  Forecast low was 16.  Temps def not an issue 

Expecting a 3-day total here in the 2 to 3 feet range.  Been down this road more than once living up this way.  Probably won't be able to get out to CR 510 for a couple days.

Just now, WestMichigan said:

Winter finally shows up in the UP

Averaging 60 inches below normal to date for this region

NAM at hour 60 shows just over 40 inches IMBY and still snowing.  I'd be satisfied with half.

Nice!

3 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said:

NWS is only giving Alpena a 20% chance of 4" + and interior northern mi 80%. Stating closer to Lake Huron the greater chance of rain mix. Not sure if they are using NAM as usual to base forecast as ECMWF and GFS both moved the slp more south today. Time to thread the needle!

I've noticed the official forecasts are almost always a blend of models...verbatim pretty much.

This is basically the going forecast.

Thanks to lake enhancement and small shifts nw, looking better and better for a 6-10" snow around here. Ground solidly covered with 6.5 inches. Finally starting to look like the UP.

Palm is still here, lurking, waiting for the dust to settle. 

Model blend through first system and then the 10-day total.  Shifted north a tad from yesterday.

Light but persistent lake snow the past few days.  Haven't been measuring daily but there's 5 inches otg now.  High of 19 today.

NWS blend  

MQT:

In total of 6 monthly and 57 daily temperature and precipitation records were broken or tied during 2023 at our office in Negaunee Twp where records date back to 1961. Five of the monthly records and 35 of the daily records were associated with temperatures warmer than previously observed. Only three of the 35 warm daily temperature records occurred during meteorological summer (Jun - Aug), which is consistent with global observations of nighttime and cool season temperatures warming more rapidly. Despite the warmth, Upper Michigan’s northern location resulted in 10 of the 19 precipitation records being associated with snowfall including the new May daily snowfall record of 19.8 inches!

9 minutes ago, Muskegon Mauler said:

If you read the forums and get to know a poster’s style their sock accounts are obv.

2 minutes ago, Muskegon Mauler said:

-PNA makes this ripe for a NW trend.

45 minutes ago, deathridge said:

Ready to be buried in more white stuff than Hunter Biden.

Two new accounts today that post identical to Palm. 

Who could it ever be?

6 minutes ago, bowtie` said:

I'll yawn for you. lol

Oh hush! 

Mild 26 this morning with some flurries.  Hi-res models paint as much as 4-6" in a narrow area of the high terrain from Herman right through my back yard late tonight/tomorrow. In an average winter by this point that would almost be a yawn but I'm excited.

3 hours ago, mittenwx said:

A look into history does not guarantee the same path in the future.

Sauk sock. 

19 minutes ago, mittenwx said:

Businesses come, businesses go.  It's been that way for the duration of the world.  Huge gamble on anything that relies on unstable seasons.

Thx for the analysis.  

Another day, another dense fog advisory.  

Businesses that rely on the snow, which is a huge chunk up here are really beginning to suffer... very odd not to see the sled traffic.

Reporting icy driveway conditions in the UP.