CT Rain

I can't speak for other markets but at least in Hartford-New Haven I think the average TV forecast is typically more conservative than the NWS and also more frequently correct.

That's true.. however their snow forecasts are almost always far more bullish than the people doing it for "ratings, page views, clicks, or advertising revenue." Not sure how to square that circle.

This system looks like crap at 500mb but we still manage nice lift thanks to warm advection along that baroclinic zone. Probably turns out being a more narrow band of good stuff than what's currently modeled.

If it's not in the model blend it's probably not making it into the forecast.

Meh on the GFS. What a surprise. Just posted this video on the pattern for Christmas week. https://youtu.be/zPngHf9xvyY

The models yesterday didn't really have this thin layer of moisture at 850.

That video was wild. I'm hopeful after Friday's torch we can start building up again Christmas Week. I'm heading to Killington for New Years so fingers crossed!

PF gets a good snowstorm on Boxing Day too!

Shut the blinds through Christmas. Ugh.

Nope. New Haven lol

Thank you! Yeah I normally do them at work in a studio but just fired up the laptop today in the dining room lol

Midday video update if anyone's interested lol https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F45qrarkeBY

I'd say 2-4" up to HFD and 1-2 north. I-95 corridor may be a bit close to 32F for really good ratios.

The GFS has only 0.15" of liquid in Hartford but this is a damn good snow growth setup.