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southmdwatcher

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Everything posted by southmdwatcher

  1. There should be places in southern MD that have had 30+ inches of rain since July1st. My location has received 21.2"
  2. 2.67" overnight and 11.4" for the month.
  3. We will probably be going over 10 inches of rain for the month in the next hour, Calvert County look out. This train track set up is not looking good.
  4. The Sterling forecast discussion said that the best opportunity for severe weather would likely be DC/Baltimore and south/eastward across Delmarva/southern MD and central VA. More unstable and time for storms to organize.
  5. I agree with this, Marco is the first storm and should have moderate impacts along the central Gulf coast. People need warning for BOTH EVENTS, and Laura has a much higher ceiling for trouble. The national media and potentially the emergency management officials are waiting for Laura to show her cards/media bosses are all in on the political conventions and chit chat.... we are heading for a potential significant disaster.
  6. What website has this for the UKMET? My EuroWX/F5 only goes out to 144 hours and has Laura as a 989 over Parkersburg WVA, strengthening however and heading straight east for our region. What was the landfall pressure for Laura on the UKMET?
  7. GFS 12Z----How about plentiful rains for the next two weeks. We do not need that to verify
  8. Wonderful, LaPlata gets two major cells on that picture, one overhead and another 2 hours out
  9. Thanks...sounds like an event where someone will get rocked. Petersburg VA.F4 tornado and southern VA outbreak/largest tornado outbreak in VA prior to Ivan in September 2004 happened August 6 1993. We shall see how this event progresses.
  10. I apologize I usually look into events, is Sunday a potential severe weather outbreak that.can produce tornadoes and hail greater than we are accustomed to? I saw SPC write up that said the focus should go PA and northward.
  11. 4.09" last night, 10.83" since June 1 and 14.96 since May 1st. Loud and sleepless night. Just a couple miles east had well over 6 inches of rain last night.
  12. Radar estimates closing in on 7 inches around Hughesville MD area.
  13. SPC had the SVR watch until 11pm. Plenty of time for storms to initiate especially north and east of DC.
  14. Radar already has activity scattered about.....Frederick County MD, Central PA, Shenandoah Valley, approaching far western MD and now approaching I95 west of Stafford/Fredericksburg.
  15. A few months late for Kmlwx. Here are some of the color tables, I use on GR2Analyst. One transparent for BR. Two BV's first one is transparent so it might not show up well enough, second BV is what I use regularly. One SRV and one NROT. Sorry for the length of the color tables.
  16. SPC expanded the marginal risk back to Hagerstown, Elkins and almost to Roanoke.
  17. 15-20 k J/kg instability, wow we will all need underground shelters
  18. Sorry that's obviously not an IPA...What about DuClaw Strawberry Letter 23
  19. The storm approaching Winchester is the one to watch.
  20. Well the wind is breaking through the inversion now. Looks like clouds are trying to break apart from south to north in front of the showers.
  21. Has there ever been an event with 2 F4/F5 tornadoes that was NOT a High Risk?
  22. I have a transparent BR file and some other SRV/BV files.
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