ice1972

2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Does that mean the MJO isn't just "all the rage" the last 7 years or so like Will said? It's been driving the bus lately? I still don't understand the MJO I need to read a lot about it. And I sure as hell can never understand the plots of it.

It means despite all the great info we can develop with such limited experience we don't know poop......

Hi all......I'm a NorCal guy born and raised 30 yrs in the Bay Area with strong skiing and snowboarding experience up in the Tahoe area........my simple question is:

Is the distribution of NEXRAD sites good enough to capture shadow?

I always thought the radar site locations were too sparse.......

2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Agree with you about the term atmospheric river. I find it extremely irritating for some reason lol.

Yaaassssss!!!!!......that term is a recent thing.......they called it El Nino properly back then.......idk...now its a convoluted mess........

3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Plenty of strong El Ninos were decent, but unfortunately this wasn't one of them. Over the past several years it really hasn't mattered what ENSO has done because the extra tropical Pacific has sucked. Anyone who has a clue knows this wasn't a prototypical super El Nino with a huge GOA low...its sucked because we can't shake the west PAC warm pool that continues to favor Maritime forcing, regardless of ENSO.

At least CA keeps getting the "atmospheric rivers"........I swear growing up in the Bay Area I never heard it called that and I wonder if you guys here ever heard "bomb cyclone" or "polar vortex" after every noreaster or cold snap.......anyway.....heres to Sping 2024!!!!

But that’s more describing the whole winter…..February was “Good” if we don’t get more snow…..another storm with like 3”+ and it’s “Great”……but even if that happens the winter is a “Flop” no doubt…..rat this

Flop 

Anything within a week?  Lets keep the pack around a bit......

37 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

If you're a snow weenie and Truckee is your desire, find a house a little further west in Soda Springs. Considerably more snowfall than Truckee.

Ya totally…..Soda Springs up at higher elevation just west of Donner summit…..tons of snow but I’d like to be in a spot with civilization too…..Truckee gets good snow and has what you need…..

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

You aren’t taking a chance on relying on “Morch” over say December.  It statistically has more high-end events and average snowfall than December.  Thats the statistical play.  The emotional play is that if December sucks, you know you have months leading up to and through “Morch” to lean on.

Seasonally, one likes the dark winter months for snow (regardless of climo temps), but March can bring the big totals.

No duds…..that’s all I’m asking…..I don’t mind the thaws or two week stretches of sun as long as it still feels like winter……the rain in December and January lol…..that’s not winter

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

well you're gonna have to move north if you want that because around here that happens like once in a decade. Even 10-11 didn't start until the end of December and 14-15 was almost a shut out until the end of Jan (two season with great snow depth that lasted for weeks/months in CT

Truckee

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Gotta move out of New England Ice. Maybe Quebec?  Or the northern Rockies?  Or Extreme N. Maine?  Your wish of a wire to wire winter is pretty unrealistic. 95-96 was close…but we had a huge thaw in January that incredible winter too. 

Truckee will be where I retire and then I will be in heaven…..

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Some folks think because it’s 3/1…that it magically changes to 60-65 degrees with bright sunshine, and light winds. Silly preconceived notions…especially in New England. 

It’s not that it changes to that but the chances it warms up are higher and more frequent……you’re taking a chance relying on Morch to satisfy your winter habit…..I’d rather not take chances - I’d prefer that Morch be the gravy but gravy is no good when you’ve got nothing to put it on……that’s all

15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya..I don’t necessarily agree there. But to each their own. Some monster snowstorms in March in SNE over the years and decades.  March can deliver the goods. And it can also deliver gorgeous days too..flip a coin and it can change on you like a fickle beotch.  Gotta be careful with her. Especially when you’re in mid Feb still. 

It’s only because I like the feel of winter…..it matters to me…..I want big snow storms with no taint…..frequent storms….cold locked in and I want it to start in December and not have any of the winter months be duds…..seems all we get now are dud months and maybe a week or two of deep winter…..it’s annoying

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

What does any of that matter if you're just talking numbers and snowfall. For a lot of climo sites "morch" averages about the same snowfall as december. Plenty of big storms in morch even over the past 10 years. 

Because I like the winter to come with more than just big snows……I like it to stick around…..I like cold…..one time can we just get a wire to wire winter where the winter months aren’t complete duds…..when I snows in Morch you know it’s gonna be gone in like days…..and every day means the temps go up and the day gets longer and so on……it’s annoying AF

58 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

There’s gonna be more chances coming up…pattern looks pretty nice/conducive for more potential winter action. Let’s hope we can cash in. Maybe this changed our ju-ju?   Winter in SNE isn’t over on Feb 13th 99.99% of the time. 

No but it’s over on Morch 1……16 days from now…..sun angle….length of day….temps….the whole thing you know

11 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

You said SINCE Feb 13. I'm not talking about that storm. 

Ya today was best since Feb 13.....2017 here wasn't memorable....but whatever....its fine - great day......too bad thats it for winter and its sping in a couple weeks.....can never catch a break and get December and January to behave

41 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Thought 2017 was better than that up there. EHA got 19" and there was plenty of thunder and 3-4"/hr rates 

No chance.......we came in at like 30" in Feb 2013........all time for us since we moved in Aug 2004

39 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

That was the best snowfall I’ve been in since Nemo. At times the flakes were so huge and coming down at such a rate you could barely keep your eyes open or see but an arms length in front of you.

100

9 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Any speculation as to why the near term guidance almost uniformly did so poorly in at least hinting in the QPF output the response to the strong h7 f-gen? From only cursory glances within past few days, it looked like all the QPF was focused along the lower level fgen axis and then subsidence north of it.

In reality, you had the subsidence north of the h7 "death band", so still a sharp cutoff but shifted farther north. It's certainly not uncommon for the models to struggle with the location and magnitude of response to fgen circulations in the QPF fields, but usually you do see hints at least.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

IDK but don't we always say the best banding sets up north and west of where the h7 fronto?  I feel so blessed to be the jackpot of that map.......best band since Feb 2013......though didn't last as long.......

Lol a foot in west Hartford hahaahahaha……24 burger?

37 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I like it.  But I will say, I usually do better than Hartford here, so I’ll disagree on that part. But good first call. 

Southington is basically Hartford for winter purposes........God I hate winter these days

19 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

The plan if the weather is good.  Is to visit my sister in law.  She lives in Kirkland, just south of Montreal. Her house is just inside the eclipse path of totality.

If you can get yourself closer to the center line…..on the edge of the total path you’ll only get a matter of seconds in darkness…..at the center it will be like 3:15 or 3:30…..minutes…..

4 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Here's a EURO Kuchie closeup for the Connecticut weenie crowd.

Oh yes please yes please yes please……in the A hole all night……

On 1/28/2024 at 7:49 PM, aldie 22 said:

Brock Purdy ain't it. Watch Shanahan go after his buddy Kirk Cousins 

lol

20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I am going to issue a blog update today or tomorrow, and then just keep my mouth shut. I'm sick of writing checks that the amtosphere doesn't cash lol

Its been going on for a lot of years now.......I always say it - to me it matters how you get to your total at the end......i love the huge storms but i don't want my annual average to all fall in two weeks at the end of February - thats not a winter - we have consistently lost december for years now.....and now we have lost january......this season can GFI

Is it Sping yet?