feloniousq

Rates have picked back up with big flakes.  Eyeballing 5-5.5"

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

13 minutes ago, jewell2188 said:

The dry air trolling on twitter is real right now....what storm do we never account for the initial dry air battle 

I bet Ian is part of it. He loves dry air and sun angle trolling

He just retweeted someone that was already calling bust

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Agreed.  It's like they're designed by a computer programmer or engineer who has no background in geography or cartography.  

I vaguely remember Ian going off on twitter about them once and someone at another office said the 90 and 10 maps are automatic from WPC probabilities, are heavily SREF-driven, and should largely be ignored.  Local offices are given freedom to move the 90 and 10 maps if they want but no one has time so they just go out as is.  The "expected" is the actual forecast that the office puts time into.

11 minutes ago, mappy said:

some day people on this forum will understand LWX's snow maps. not today, but some day. 

I understand them just fine.  They're stupid and mets who should know better amplify them all over twitter, which then misinform the public.  That's why I said "we have this discussion a lot."  They continue to suck and mislead and should either be fixed or discontinued, like a lot of the American weather models.

We have this discussion a fair amount, but the expected/low/high graphics packages just make no sense.  Leesburg's "expected" is 6-8 but the "high end" (10%) is 7?

Was looking forward to a good powder weekend at Snowshoe, now I’ll be lucky not to get sunburned

Sleet now.  Maybe 0.5" snow before the change.

Lazy flurries.

Not a single flake in Ashburn.

Snow falling on snow-covered ground out the window as I sit by a fire with a nice cup of coffee.  Could be worse.

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

One can only hope the Bahamas gets the squall warning in time!

Nice to see flakes falling in Reston but roads never caved and visibility never dropped that much.  Starting to brighten up.

Almost 2”.  I’m gonna have to shovel before dark or it ain’t movin. Amazing.

yea CWG is going borderline ALEET and I don't get it

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Oh, I’m talking about mby. I just wanted to post in a place that knows what it’s like to see snow 

 

Russell Crowe Javert is a very apt GIF: lots of hype and noise and ultimately extraordinarily disappointing

Rush hour also isn't magically localized to downtown DC.  They're expecting flakes in Frederick/Loudoun/etc. by 4-6 PM.

5 minutes ago, Beachin said:

It's like the yellows in Loudoun are hitting the river and getting driven back on themselves

Ripping big flakes.  Had cleared the driveway around 11, this is the first time it's re-caved.

About 3" down, but seem to be in a lull

The animals in my yard are going absolutely berzerk

The flakes are tiny and slow, but they are a-fallin’

Just stellar, top notch storm mode GFS PBP.

The NBC4 meteorologist said 4” for Fredericksburg on the 11 o’clock... hmmm

2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

NWS has the best graphics. From reading the LWX AFD, someone else (or a computer?) must make these.

Almost as fun as that onset time graphic that roiled WxTwitter last night

Things appear to be getting a little tense up in the Old Line State.