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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Congrats Walt Drag in NJ while central MA into CT dryslots on HRRR.
  2. Actually MJO going into phase 6 in December. That’s encouraging to see. Hopefully not a blip.
  3. I hope your forecast and my December shit period fail miserably.
  4. Yeah I do like seeing that. Kind of a stable look to it. Hopefully whatever forcing is there stalls and keeps that jet west based in the Pacific. I’m in vacation so I haven’t dug deep into this stuff, but so far so good. But yeah still a EPOhNo risk if s/w’s dig too far west.
  5. I still like the east based -EPO look. That hasn’t disappeared. Starts literally last day or so of November. I’m not putting effort into anything after Thanksgiving.
  6. Regarding this weekend, as usual occluded systems with random s/w’s are hard to nail down. Definitely a chance of a coating from the Monads to CT hills maybe some spots a little more. Just depends on where and how second low forms. Sort of favor north, but not all of the question it wraps in further south.
  7. I said the window was into early December. Yeesh.
  8. Well November is shot. And yes after that early December period I said it would be shot until end of month. And yes we do know how to forecast long range. Otherwise people would not be paid to do it. Sure you can be off a week or two which is why the batting average is lower compared to 5-7 day forecast. But there is skill.
  9. If December is wintry and snowy overall, then happy to be wrong. There is nobody else right now happier to be wrong. At least the pattern looks decent to start the month.
  10. Yeah it is toast overall. And I also said like two weeks ago the very end into early December offered a chance for the interior at least because models had a window. I still think after the early December window is May get ugly until the last week or so. Happy to be wrong.
  11. lol I’ll sell the clowns, but models have been hinting at something lurking anyways.
  12. Some inflow still as the ULL wraps around. Gfs verbatim likes Kevin’s area.
  13. That period after T day into the weekend has had a few weenie solutions.
  14. The pics of the fire at Blue Hills are pretty crazy. They had to do a large back burn to try to contain it. Wild stuff.
  15. Looks pretty good still for something perhaps early December. Nothing much else to add other than pattern could support it. Hopefully people like Ineedweenies aren’t locking something in.
  16. EPS looks pretty darn good to start December. I know Will and Tip talked about it, but the Pacific is good overall. Still a SE ridge risk with the EPO, but I can’t complain about that look
  17. That early December period still looks like it could deliver something if timed right.
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