Scraff

We need to learn to lose before we learn to win. It’s fine. Next Sunday it is.

Ok GooFus. Let’s do this!

NAM—please be right for the first time ever. eta: ...for the first time since the creation of (wo)man.

Time to look forward to our March 93 Superstorm pattern...

Man—the panic room should be open for biz momentarily. I’m betting a few of those plots near Paleocene fill up quickly.

Good morning all! From Larry Cosgrove: The forecast for the later week exemplifies what makes synoptic meteorology both exciting, while at the same time stressful. Unlike the ejecting disturbance in the near term, which will have issues with confluence and orographic dispersion, the second impulse will have an ideal chance at growth as the center will redevelop after crossing the Appalachian Mountains in southern Virginia on early Thursday morning. With a portion of the mAk vortex in Newfoundland retrogressing back into New England, a capture mechanism at 500MB will be present which will allow for both rapid deepening and leftward recurvature. As I have cautioned since last weekend, there is a chance that the normal model rightward bias will be evident with this feature. There is a chance, about 1 in 3, that snowfall impacts, along with wind, could be felt along the Interstate 95 corridor on Thursday and Friday. Yes, the center may shift far enough off of the Atlantic coastline as to minimize winter weather risks to the major cities. But I do not like the idea of writing this feature off, since you can detect a stronger intensity and more west trajectory in recent runs of the computer schemes. As things stand now, the only relatively sure threat for heavy snow and mixed precipitation is across the Virginias, Washington DC, Maryland and Delaware. The no-snow line should run just above the North Carolina border, but I would not be surprised if the northern portion of the Tar Heel State gets some sleet or snow in the end phase of the low pressure passage, which looks to emerge int0o the open Atlantic Ocean very near Norfolk VA on Thursday afternoon. We should soon know on the Sunday 12z model runs if this is "one for the fish" or "the snowbirds got their wish".

Gfs is broken bro. It can't even give us snow with a 981 at Hatteras and cad lol It only broken until we get to Thursdays bomb.

Incorrect. Boston!

Sorry I was past out during the earlier mega-weenieness. I’m late to the game, but how are the soil temps?

Inoculum is fricking amazing. \m/ Anyway Perfect Circle is good, but when I’m listening to them, I always find myself wishing it was Tool. Lol

Needed those 2 pts. Hope Wilson will be ok. Just 3 more games until the Russians are freed.

Your best bet—just spill some 120 Min IPA on the front yard and see if it can actually freeze.

I’m so mad I was out earlier for hard rock / metal talk. Let’s go! Huge fan of things metal. Iron Maiden / Judas Priest / Black Sabbath is how it starts, but man way too many more to list. Crue?? Hell yes! Winger though?? LOL. Fine. I have the first 2 Wingers albums. SOAD-not my jam. Love Disturbed though. I saw mention of Tool. They were my last concert pre-Covid. I love music as much as weather and beer. Not sure the order though. Family first though. Always. And damn it better snow next week! This fridge can’t drink itself!! Someone come over and I’ll share my last Coke Zero.

Thanks PSU.

LA LA LOCK that s**t up!

Finally a real model doing real model things!

The CRAS may have just passed the GFS for the “go to” model of choice.

@ravensrule??

Congrats Norfolk. Lol eta: right where we want it?

Pinks to blues. Time for a HH GooFuS beer!

Need a Bernie Sanders meme sitting in the middle of that picture.

Why just one? You’re allowed to ask for both the appetizer and the main course.

No complaints from me on the Euro clown map. Not sure the how or why, but I’m definitely not asking questions.

I’ll take my 2” of....never mind

Consistency! That’s what we have been lacking, but we now have it. At some point, the GFS will catch on...probably around Monday.