Sey-Mour Snow

the mean track is much further east

We had about 8" here that storm, I'd take that all day

Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go

EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game

Wonky Euro track , Bombs and stalls off Hatteras, goes ENE then curls back in ..

Damn high stakes for ENE .. Flip flopping continues ENE - equal odds for either: 1. Major hit 2. light to moderate blow 3. Scrape miss West of River - 50% miss/scrape 30% light to mod hit 20% major hit

If this ends up scraping, the GFS needs to be retired, that would be 4 medium range busts/caves in a row. Still have 84-96 hours to get it 75 miles west for most of us though so we track

Euro AI held serve , euro with a massive shift west from the abysmal 12z. well one thing is agreed on SEMASS looking pretty damn good.

lol I was just posting maps too you guys beat me to it .. that’s not just a bump northwest that’s a 15-20” mean at day 5 for SEMASS. 5-10” to ENY. GFS has burnt us quite a bit this winter in the medium range so I’m very wary. But as we’ve said we would expect a strong Miller A to move NW as we get closer so we shall see what the other guidance says.

Same page as you, give it until tomorrow 12z or even tomorrow night. Just need a few tweaks in our favor to get what we want.

Ya 6z euro suite was bad . However, still 5 days out, need to tweak a few things and like Will said get this to close further north.

Also there are so many members 1000 miles east skewing the means..

absolutely wild, so amped.. tucked in deep members, High probs for 6"+ for a good chunk of NE. 24"+ odds for southeast Mass. Still 5 days away so wild to see those kinds of odds

NVM he said 18-20" in Vernon with 21" pack, so no 20's in CT ..