Sey-Mour Snow

How much pack do you guys have up in NE MASS, I’m down to 6-8”

Nam is not less amped just doesn’t get precip as far north as.. low is a tic north .. 25-50” around southern ct through nyc metro to central jersey wild run .. another jack NE too 20-30”

I was just talking about the opposite this time.. This time 11-15" is Upton's call (too much faith in EURO again)..

That was us in Juno 6-8" fell .. Forecast was 24-36" .. nws map had the 36-39" bullseye over my house still have the images on my phone for inspiration/rage when I need it.

What your recollection of 1978 compared to this? There are surface maps floating around comparing this to the surface map of 78 with a 1049 high in the same exact spot in Canada and a stronger storm this go around in the same spot.

lol NAM even crazier than Hrrr we just got Nam’d that’s just stupid . 25-35”+ widespread with 60-70 mph winds

Holy shit

Ya we have to just take this all in and enjoy - epic stuff being modeled.. We have to realize a low pressure around 970 mb will most likely go just inside the benchmark in the next 36-48 hours, wild things are going to happen..

@CoastalWx NBM 31 spot from Woonsocket to Quincy Mass

For example Upton's Blizzard Warning is for 11-15" but there map has us at 15-16" lol makes no damn sense, then it makes people like us look bad when the public gets the alert for only 11-15"

Ya good call Scott, it's almost like it's a full 24-36 hours behind gfs trends, GFS is trending more NE while EURO just starting to see that Jersey max

Euro is a 11-15" plus ratios for southern CT gfs 20-30"+ so that can't be it.. Just a really conservative forecast .. especially considering how NBM and HREF are juiced and they usually hug the NBM

incrementally better for several runs .. EPS is 100 miles west from 00z with the 1" 24 hour qpf line.. HREF and NBM are honking too , I have zero doubts our maps look great this will be EPIC.. some far west leaners on EPS, mean would be even better if not for some random lows that are 500 miles east

Yet again the eps is a bit wetter than the op .. red flag in my opinion that op is out to lunch

Still to conservative 11-15” seems way too low