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Roger Smith

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Posts posted by Roger Smith

  1.  

    Probably a final report but could be edited for DEN, cannot affect outcome as RodneyS has more to spare at DEN than anyone else. 

    Congrats to RodneyS (subject to final verification). DonS second and hudsonvalley21 third. 

     

    *** __ 2023-2024 Winter Snowfall Contest __ ***

     

    Forecaster ___________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ DTW _ BUF ____ DEN _ SEA _ BTV

     

    wxdude64 ____________________________22.9 _ 30.2 _ 44.6 __ 22.2 _ 31.5 _ 88.3 ___ 54.3 __ 7.8 __ 71.4

    RJay _________________________________ 22.0 _ 30.0 _ 44.0 __ 20.0 _ 25.0 _ 99.0 ___ 61.0 __ 4.0 __ 80.0

    BKViking _____________________________ 19.0 _ 28.0 _ 37.0 __ 20.0 _ 17.0 __ 95.0 ___ 59.0 __ 4.1 __ 86.0

    wxallannj _____________________________ 19.0 _ 27.0 _ 30.0 __ 38.0 _ 35.0 _ 97.0 ___ 41.0 __ 9.0 __ 75.0

    Tom ___________________________________18.7 _ 32.6 _ 44.7 __ 37.2 _ 34.6 _ 97.8 ___ 51.6 __ 4.1 __ 73.2

    Roger Smith __________________________ 18.5 _ 33.8 _ 54.1 __ 40.3 _ 48.4 _ 89.2 ___ 45.0 __ 3.0 __79.3

    ___ Consensus ____ (median) __________18.5 _ 27.0 _ 37.0 __ 30.0 _ 34.5 _ 89.2 ___ 54.3 __ 4.1 __ 77.0

    so_whats_happening __________________18.0 _ 26.0 _ 41.0 __ 28.0 _ 35.0 _ 78.0 ___ 40.0 __ 7.0 __ 87.0

    Scotty Lightning ______________________ 16.0 _ 21.0 _ 33.0 __ 43.0 _ 31.0 _103.0 ___ 41.0 __ 5.0 __ 86.0

    hudsonvalley21 _______________________ 12.0 _ 31.0 _ 30.5 __ 33.5 _ 32.5 _ 68.5 ___ 59.5 __ 5.5 __ 77.0

    DonSutherland1 _______________________ 11.5 _ 15.0 _ 27.5 ___27.0 _ 38.5 _ 85.0 ___ 56.5 __ 1.2 ___70.0

    RodneyS _______________________________ 6.7 _ 12.9 _ 24.3 __ 30.0 _ 34.5 _ 79.9 ___ 65.4 __ 3.9 __ 64.3

     

    Snowfall to date _ (05-07) ____________ 8.0 __ 7.5 ___ 9.8 ___ 22.2 _ 23.5 _ 71.3 ___ 44.6 ___0.3 __ 60.8

    -------------------------------------

     

    Snowfall errors to date

    (in most cases, error is an overprediction and can be reduced by future snowfall, exceptions are underlined and these errors can increase) ...

     

    Forecaster ___________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ DTW _ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV ___ Total (rank)

     

    RodneyS _______________________________ 1.3 __ 5.4 _ 14.5 ___ 7.8 __ 11.0 __ 8.6 ____20.8 __ 3.6 __ 3.5____ 76.5 (1)

    DonSutherland1 ________________________3.5 __ 7.5 __ 17.7 ___ 4.8 _ 15.0 _ 13.7 ____ 11.9 __ 0.9 ___ 9.2____ 84.2 (2)

    hudsonvalley21 ________________________ 4.0 _ 23.5 _ 20.7 __ 11.3 __ 9.0 _ 2.8 _____ 14.9 __ 5.2 __16.2 ___ 107.6 (3)

    so_whats_happening __________________10.0 _ 18.5 _ 31.2 ___ 5.8 _ 11.5 ___ 6.7 ____ 4.6 __ 6.7 __ 26.2 ___ 121.2 (4)

    ___ Consensus ____ (median) __________10.5 _ 19.5 _ 27.2 ___ 7.8 _ 11.0 __ 17.9 ____ 9.7 __ 3.8 __ 16.2 ___ 123.6 (4.6)

    wxdude64 ____________________________14.9 _ 22.7 _ 34.8 ___ 0.0 __ 8.0 _ 17.0 ____ 9.7 __ 7.5 __ 10.6 ___ 125.2 (5) 

    wxallannj _____________________________ 11.0 _ 19.5 _ 20.2 __ 15.8 _ 11.5 __ 25.7 ____3.6 __ 8.7 __ 14.2 ___ 130.2 (6)

    BKViking _____________________________ 11.0 _ 20.5 _ 27.2 ___ 2.2 __ 6.5 __ 23.7 __ 14.4 __ 3.8 __ 25.2 ___ 134.5 (7) 

    Scotty Lightning _______________________ 8.0 _ 13.5 _ 23.2 __ 20.8 __7.5 __31.7 ____ 3.6 __ 4.7 __ 25.2 ___ 138.2 (8)

    RJay __________________________________ 14.0 _ 22.5 _ 34.2 ___ 2.2 __ 1.5 _ 27.7 ___ 16.4 __ 3.7 __ 19.2 ___ 141.4 (9) 

    Tom ___________________________________ 10.7 _ 25.1 _ 34.9 __ 15.0 _ 11.1 __ 26.5 ___ 7.0 __ 3.8 __ 12.4 ___ 146.5 (10)

    Roger Smith ___________________________ 10.5 _ 26.3 _ 44.3 __ 18.1 _24.9 _ 17.9 ____ 0.4 __ 2.7 __ 18.5 ___ 163.6 (11)

    ======================================

  2. As always, predict the highest temperatures to be expected this summer at the four airports:

    DCA

    IAD

    BWI

    RIC

    and I will start the ball rolling with 103, 105, 106 and 107. 

    Contest deadline 06z June 15 2024

    Tie-breaker details: lowest errors break ties, order of entry the last level separating ties

    For example, 0 1 1 1 beats 0 1 2 0. ... 2 1 1 1 beats 2 2 1 0. ... June 2nd beats June 4th.

    ___ DEFENDING 2023 WINNER: WEATHER53 ___ 

  3. It's that time again ... enter your forecast for seasonal totals of storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (in the North Atlantic basin) ... using NOAA official counts as our contest guide. 

    Include any named storms already in the books by June 1st in your total (as of now, count is 0/0/0). 

    1991-2020 average values 14/7/3 ... 2024 seasonal forecasts from various experts average 22/11/5 (so far). I will include a few of these as of June 1st as non-entries for ranking against our forecasts (without changing our contest ranks). 

    I may extend the entry deadline based on the situation on June 1st and the number of entries. You can edit or revise any entries up to final deadline, no need to bring attention to edits as I won't be trying to create a table of entries until deadline is passed. 

    Boards.ie weather forum and Net-weather (UK) will be invited to participate. Ranks will be provided (a) over all entries and (b) within forums, or fora if anyone here is a Latin purist.

    Good luck !

  4. Table of forecasts for May 2024

     

    FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ DEN _PHX _SEA

    Roger Smith ______________+3.5 _+4.0 _+3.5 __ +3.0 _+3.0 _+2.5 __ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +1.0

    Stormchaser Chuck ______+3.0 _+3.2 _+2.8 __ +4.0 _+3.0 _+2.4 __ +1.6 _+0.5 __ 0.0

    wxallannj _________________ +2.2 _+2.0 _+1.8 __ +2.6 _+2.4 _+2.8 __ +1.8 _+0.6 _ -1.0

    RJay ______________________+2.0 _+2.1 _+2.1 __ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +2.0 __ +2.0 _+1.0 _ +1.0

    Scotty Lightning __ (-1%) _+2.0 _+1.5 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.5 __ +1.0 _ +1.0 __ 0.0

    rainsucks _________________+1.7 _ +1.5 _ +1.0 __ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.3 ___+1.5 __0.0 _ +1.0

    BKViking ________(-2%) ____+1.6 _ +1.8 _ +1.7 __ +1.1 _ +1.1 _ +0.5 __ +0.5 _+0.5 _+0.5

    ___ Consensus ____________ +1.6 _ +1.6 _ +1.7 __ +1.5 _+1.2 _+1.5 __ +0.9 _+0.6 _+0.5

    wxdude64 _______(-1%) ____+1.6 _ +1.3 _ +1.1 __ +0.9 _+0.7 _+1.4 __ +0.4 _ -0.5 _-0.8

    rhino16 ___________________ +1.5 _ +2.0 _ +2.1 __ +0.7 _+1.8 _ +0.6 __ +0.1 _+1.2 _+0.4

    Tom _______________________+1.5 _ +1.7 _ +1.7 __ +1.8 _ +1.6 _+0.9 __ +0.7 _+0.7 _+0.6

    so_whats_happening ______+1.2 _ +1.0 _+0.9 __ +0.8 _ +1.2 _+1.4 __ +1.5 _ +0.3 _-0.2

    DonSutherland1 ___________+1.1 _ +1.2 _ +1.1 __ +0.8 _ +0.9 _ +0.9 __ +0.5 _+0.5 _+0.7

    hudsonvalley21 ___________+0.9 _ +1.0 _ +1.8 __ +2.2 _ +1.3 _ +1.4 __ +0.8 _+0.3 _+1.2

    RodneyS __________________+0.8 _+0.3 _ -0.5 __ -0.7 _ +1.1 _ +1.6 ___ -0.1 _ -0.3 _ -0.9

    ___ Normal ________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

     

    Persistence (Apr 2024)___+2.3 _ +1.9 _+0.2 ___+3.0 _+2.2_+2.8 ____+2.7 _+0.8 _-1.1

     

     

     

  5. Jacob Lake AZ north of Grand Canyon at 8,000' elevation had about 2-3" new snow late Friday, we drove through that area Saturday and it was barely above freezing but at lower elevations it was 55-60 F with a few leftover rain showers and sunny breaks. It has cleared out totally now in Kanab UT and looking for 70-75 F highs on Sunday. Saw two rare condors near Lees Ferry AZ, nine foot wingspans, prehistoric looking. 

    • Like 1
  6. On vacation in Las Vegas and s Utah since Tuesday, gradual cooling trend ended with rain and gusty winds today, hot to warm to very cool, now just 40F at Kanab, UT (was 90F on Tues in Vegas). Both LAS and SLC set daily rainfall records, at 0.23" Vegas to 0.82" SLC. I think gradient of rainfall in between was fairly linear so about 0.4" fell in parts of s Utah. It is the first significant rain in Vegas and s UT since winter ended but the wet winter resulted in very good desert blooming, saw lots of flowering cactus on display at Desert National Wildlife Refuge located about ten miles north of Vegas outer suburbs on US95, if you get a chance it's a very interesting area, as is nearby Red Rock Canyon and Fire Valley State Park. Going to various national parks in UT now but in most cases have visited before so we know what to expect (life elevated). 

    • Like 1
  7. <<<< ===[]===[] .......... ==== Annual scoring for Jan-Apr 2024 ==== ..........[]===[]=== >>>> 

     

    wxallannj _______________ 294 _274 _294 __ 862 __246 _316 _218 __780 _1642 __294 _368 _342 _1004____ 2646

    rainsucks _______________352 _358 _276 __986__ 243 _274 _234 __ 751 _1737 __174 _302 _284 __ 760 ____ 2497

    ___ Consensus _________ 268 _250_276 __794 __266_288 _218 __772 _1566 __208 _344 _324 __876____ 2442

    DonSutherland1 ________284 _292 _294 __ 870 __ 284 _268 _180 __ 732 _1602 __248 _310 _262 __820 ____ 2422

    RJay ____________________291 _298 _249 __ 838 __257 _282 _174 __ 713 _1551 __ 238 _309 _295 __838 ____ 2393 (2440)*

    so_whats_happening ___ 258 _256 _288 __ 802 __279 _256 _166 __ 701 _1503 __244 _290 _318 __852 ____ 2355 

    hudsonvalley21 _________278 _204 _222 __ 704 __254 _286 _250 __ 790 _1494 __216 _276 _298 __790 ____ 2284

    BKViking ________________272 _250 _284 __ 806 __204 _260 _194 __ 658 _1464 __194 _328 _294 __816 ____ 2280

    RodneyS ________________162 _236 _282 __ 680 __193 _216 _230 __ 639 _ 1319 __ 262 _284 _316 __862 ____ 2181

    Tom _____________________218 _198 _226 __ 642 __198 _256 _206 __ 660 _1302 __ 170 _314 _312 __ 796 ____ 2098

    Scotty Lightning ________214 _156 _ 188 __ 558 __148 _292 _236 __ 676 _1234 __ 214 _292 _330 __836 ____ 2070

    Roger Smith _____________224 _202 _136 __ 562 __244 _267 _218 __729 _ 1291 __184 _290 _230 __ 704 ____ 1995

    wxdude64 _______________160 _170 _236 __ 566 __190 _208 _154 __ 552 _ 1118 __ 226 _310 _302 __ 838 ____ 1956

    Normal __________________134 _ 112 _ 190 __ 436 __ 118 _226 _146 __490 _ 926 __ 174 _310 _350 __ 834 ____ 1760

    Persistence _____________ 282 _244 _282 __ 808 __ 070 _224 _174 __464 _ 1272 _ 042 _156 _256 __ 454 ____ 1726

    Stormchaser Chuck (2/4)_68 _ 98 _ 128 __ 294 __ 110 _ 00 _ 00 ___ 110 __ 404 ___ 62 _ 190 _ 136 __ 388 ____ 792

    Rhino16 (2/4) ____________ 50 _ 22 _ 36 ___ 108 __ 103 _118 _ 56 ___ 277 __ 385 ___ 48 _ 158 _ 156 __ 362 ____ 747

     

    * (note: tracking RJay raw score before Feb late penalty of 47 pts ... at current scoring, would affect ranks by two positions)

    -----------------------------------

     

     

    Best forecasts

     

    * tied wins (one per * ) ^ 3 forecasters tied (plus Consensus and normal -- 4 for SEA for 2024-03 and PHX for April) 

     

    FORECASTER ___________DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west___ TOTAL 

    wxallannj ________________1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 2** __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 2*___1 ____ 2 ______ 0 

    rainsucks _______________ 2 ___ 3 ___ 2 ____ 2 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^ ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 1 _ Feb 

    ___ Consensus _________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 _____ 0 

    DonSutherland1 _________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 2* ___ 1 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    RJay _____________________0 ___ 1*___ 0 ____ 1*____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^ ____1 ______ 1 _ Mar 

    so_whats_happening ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*____ 0 ______ 0 

    hudsonvalley21 _________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 2**__ 1*___ 3 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1*____ 0 ______ 0 

    BKViking ________________ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^___ 0 ____ 0 ______0 

    RodneyS ________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1*___ 0 ____ 1 ______ 1 _ Jan

    Tom _____________________ 0 ___ 1* __ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 0  

    Scotty Lightning _________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    Roger Smith _____________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1*___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^___ 0 ____ 1 ______ 1 _Apr 

    wxdude64 _______________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 0 

    Normal __________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    Stormchaser Chuck _____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*___ 0 ____0 ______ 0 

    Rhino16 _________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ______ 0 

     

    EXTREmE  FORECAST  REPORT 

    so far, a total of 22 qualified (18 for warmest, 4 for coldest) ... Jan 2-2, Feb 8-0, Mar 4-0, Apr 4-2. 

    * tied for a win or loss, scores adjusted in final col.

    (April provisional, to be adjusted)

    FORECASTER _______________ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _ Apr ___ TOTAL __ adj for ties

    rainsucks ____________________ 2-0 _ 4-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-2* ___8-2 ___8.0 - 1.5

    hudsonvalley21 ______________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 3**-0__ 4-0 ___ 3.0 - 0

    wxallannj _____________________0-0 _ 1*-0_ 0-0 _ 2*-1 __ 3-1 ___ 2.0 - 1

    Roger Smith __________________0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-1 _ 2*-1 ___ 3-2 ___ 2.5 - 2

    Scotty Lightning _____________ 0-0 _ 2*-0_0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 2-0 ___ 1.5 - 0

    RodneyS _____________________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 ___ 2-0

    wxdude64 ___________________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    DonSutherland1 ______________0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    ___ Normal ___________________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-1 ___ 1-1

    RJay _________________________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-2 _ 0-0 ___ 1-2

    BKViking _____________________ 0-0 _ 0-1 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-1

    Stormchaser Chuck __________0-2 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-2

    Tom, Rhino16, swh _____________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-0

     

     

  8.  

    Final scoring for April 2024

     

    (final values) ________________________________+2.3 _+1.9 _+0.2 ____ +3.0 _+2.2 _+2.9__________ +2.7 _+0.8 _-1.1

    FORECASTER _________________________DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ ORD_ATL_IAH_cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA_west ___ TOTAL

     

    Roger Smith __________________________ 94 _ 94 _ 54 __ 242 __ 86 _ 98 _100__ 284 _ 526 _ 98 _ 96 _ 74 __ 268 ____ 794

    wxallannj ______________________________98 _ 90 _ 52 __ 240 __ 96 _ 94 _ 68 __ 258 _ 498 _ 94 _ 94 _ 88 __ 276 ____ 774

    Tom ___________________________________86 _ 98 _ 68 __ 252 __ 82 _ 80 _ 74 __ 236 _ 488 _ 64 _ 96 _ 74 __ 234 ____ 722

    Scotty Lightning _______________________84 _ 82 _ 84 __ 250 __ 70 _ 96 _ 84 __ 250 _ 500 _ 86 _ 76 _ 48 __ 210 ____ 710

    ___ Consensus ________________________ 86 _ 96 _ 66 __ 248 __ 82 _ 80 _ 74 __ 236 _ 484 _ 66 _ 92 _ 66 __ 224 ____ 708

    RJay __________________________________ 94 _ 98 _64 __ 256 __ 80 _ 76 _ 64 __ 220 _ 476 _ 66 _ 84 _ 78 __ 228 ____ 704

    BKViking ______________________________ 84 _ 94 _ 74 __ 252 __ 78 _ 76 _ 74 __ 228 _ 480 _ 50 _ 96 _ 60 __ 206 ____ 686

    rainsucks _____________________________ 76 _ 64 _ 34 __ 174 __ 90 _ 94 _ 86 __ 270 _ 444 _ 94 _ 96 _ 48 __ 238 ____ 682

    so_whats_happening __________________80 _ 94 _ 64 __ 238 __ 92 _ 76 _ 60 __ 228 _ 466 _ 62 _ 84 _ 70 __ 216 ____ 682 

    hudsonvalley21 _______________________ 84 _ 54 _ 22 __ 160 __ 96 _ 98 _ 96 __ 290 _ 450 _10070 20 __ 190 ____ 640

    DonSutherland1 _______________________ 84 _ 92 _ 80 __ 256 __ 74 _ 62 _ 44 __ 180 _ 436 _ 56 _ 68 _ 62 __ 186 ____ 622

    wxdude64 _____________________________76 _ 82 _ 84 __ 242 __ 60 _ 58 _ 46 __ 164 _ 406 _ 58 _ 88 _ 60 __ 206 ____ 612

    ___ Normal _____________________________54 _ 62 _ 96 __ 212 __ 40 _ 56 _ 44 __ 140 _ 352 _ 46 _ 84 _ 78 __ 208 ____ 560

    RodneyS _______________________________48 _ 84 _ 86 __ 218 __ 38 _ 52 _ 66 __ 156 _ 374 _ 58 _ 46 _ 82 __ 186 ____ 560

     

    Persistence ____________________________60 _ 32 _ 30 __ 122 __ 60 _ 80 _100__ 240 _ 352 _ 42 _ 60 _ 76 __ 178 ____ 530

     

    =====================

     

    Extreme forecasts

    _ BOS (+0.2) is a win for RodneyS with coldest forecast (+0.9), and also a win for Normal.

    _ ORD (+3.0) is a win for hudsonvalley21 (+3.2) and wxallannj (+2.8) and a loss for rainsucks (+3.5). 

    _ ATL (+2.2) is a shared win for hudsonvalley21 and Roger S (+2.1) and a shared loss for wxallannj and rainsucks (+2.5)

    _ IAH (+2.8) is a win for Roger Smith (+2.8)

    _DEN (+2.7) is a win hudsonvalley21 at +2.7, and a loss for Roger S (+2.8).

    _SEA (-1.1) is a win for wxallannj (-0.5).

     

    NOTE: will require quality control, I did work just before leaving for day of touring Zion NP, will revisit next two days. 

     

    • Like 2
  9. At the halfway point updated to Apr 24 ... anomalies and projections ...

     

    ___________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

    ______ (15d anom) ________+2.9 _ +3.3 _ +1.6 ___ +3.9 _ +1.9 _ +3.7 ___ +4.8 _ -2.7 _ -0.6

    ______ (24d anom) ________+2.3 _ +2.0 _ +0.9 ___ +2.4 _ +1.9 _ +2.6 ___ +2.9 _ +0.9 _ -0.3

     

    16 ___(p30d anom) _______+1.5 _ +2.0 _ +0.5 ___ +3.0 _ +1.5 _ +3.5 ___ +4.0 __ 0.0 _ -1.0

    25 ____(p30d anom) _______+2.0 _ +2.0 _ +1.0 ___ +3.0 _ +2.0 _ +3.5 ___ +3.0 __+1.0 _ -0.5

    final anomalies ___________ +2.3 _ +1.9 _ +0.2 ___ +3.0 _ +2.2 _ +2.8 ___ +2.7 __+0.8 _ -1.1

     

    (Apr 16) _ Projections are based on a rather cool second half pattern in east and PAC NW, very warm southwest US to Texas, continued warm DEN)

    (Apr 25) _ Projections updated, only a few slight changes.

     

    Apr 15 _ Updates to snowfall contest will appear later (noted in last table posted in last month's contest thread).

    (a few increases since 1st Apr for 9.8 BOS, 22.2 ORD, 23.5 DTW, 71.3 BUF, 38.3 DEN, 60.8 BTV)

    By Apr 30 ... DEN 44.6 (no other changes)

     

  10. The Aug 22, 2044 (Aug 23 in UT) eclipse would be visible from Alberta and parts of BC, Yukon and Alaska towards sunset, and only lasts a minute or two. Evening cloud cover in late August is quite a high probability in the Rockies and I would think best chances could be further northwest (or near Lethbridge AB).

    The Aug 12, 2045 eclipse crosses the US in a path similar to the 2017 event, a bit further south, northern Utah to south FL are in the path and it lasts a full six minutes. Skies are often clear in Utah in August especially in range of 0930-1130h local when this eclipse will happen there. 

    From a distance, I would take my chances on the 2045 event although the 2044 event is very close to my location anyway. We will probably have teleportation by then anyway, right? 

    • Thanks 1
  11. While not able to break NYC daily rainfall record on April 3 (1.90" 1983), the 48h total of 2.42" (0.87"+1.55") does set a new high for April 2-3, previously it was 2.01" in 1917.

    Today, both records are 1987 (1.99" one day, and 2.48" 2d for April 3-4). 

    I posted all such records on page 13 of this thread (and I edited in 2024). 

    Current pattern cannot be a lot different fro 1915 with its record 10.0" snowfall (on April 3), and worth noting that April 25 and 27 of 1915 both set records in the low 90s. The only other part of 1915 that was particularly warm was mid-September.

     

  12. Table of forecasts for April 2024 

     

    FORECASTER _________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

    rainsucks ______________________________+3.5 _ +3.7 _ +3.5 ___ +3.5 _ +2.5 _+2.1 ___ +2.4 _+1.0 _+1.5

    hudsonvalley21 ________________________+3.1 _ +4.2 _ +4.1 ___ +3.2 _ +2.1 _ +2.6 ___ +2.7 _+2.3 _+2.9

    wxallannj ______________________________+2.2 _ +2.4 _ +2.6 ___ +2.8 _ +2.5 _ +1.2 ___ +2.4 _+0.5 _-0.5

    Roger Smith ___________________________+2.0 _ +2.2 _ +2.5 ___ +2.3 _ +2.1 _ +2.8 ___ +2.8 _+1.0 _+0.2

    RJay ___________________________________+2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 ___ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 ___ +1.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

    Tom ____________________________________+1.6 _ +1.8 _ +1.8 ___ +2.1 _ +1.2 _ +1.5 ___ +0.9 _ +0.6 _ +0.2

    ___ Consensus _________________________+1.6 _ +1.7 _ +1.9 ___ +2.1 _ +1.2 _ +1.5 ___ +1.0 _ +0.4 _ +0.6

    BKViking _______________________________+1.5 _ +1.6 _ +1.5 ___ +1.9 _ +1.0 _ +1.5 ___ +0.2 _ +1.0 _ +0.9

    DonSutherland1 _______________________ +1.5 _ +1.5 _ +1.2 ___ +1.7 _ +0.3 __ 0.0 ___ +0.5 _ -0.8 _ +0.8

    Scotty Lightning _______________________+1.5 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 ___ +1.5 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 ___ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +1.5

    so_whats_happening ___________________+1.3 _ +1.6 _ +2.0 ___+2.6 _ +1.0 _ +0.8 ___ +0.8 __ 0.0 _+0.4 

    wxdude64 ______________________________+1.1 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 ___ +1.0 _ +0.1 _ +0.1 ____ +0.6 _+0.2 _+0.9

    ___ Normal _______________________________0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 _____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

    RodneyS ________________________________-0.3 _ +1.1 _ +0.9 ___ -0.1 _ -0.2 _ +1.1 ____ +0.6 __-1.9 __-0.2

     

    Persistence ____________________________ +4.3 _ +5.3 _ +3.7 ___+5.0 _+3.2 _+2.8 ___ -0.2 _ -1.2 _ +0.1

    ==================

    Color codes for warmest and coldest forecasts, Normal coldest for NYC, BOS, IAH, DEN

    • Like 1
  13.  

    __ <<<< APRIL DAILY RECORDS for NYC >>>> __

    notes: 2d precip records, almost all rain, are listed for days on which they conclude. An asterisk (as for Apr 8, 1940) indicates that the 2d record is only one precip event on that date. A double asterisk ** (e.g. Apr 11, 1983) indicates the record amount all fell on the previous day and no additional rain or snow fell on that day. The basic point of including 2d records is that it tends to identify all discrete rainfall events including those occurring overnight.

    Also, numbers in brackets after record low minima are that day's maximum, if close to a record low max, but not actually a low max, which would be listed in the adjacent column. As with second such notation (36 max for record low 22F Apr 2, 1919) these near-record values are sometimes on a previous day (in this case April 1, 1919).

    Extreme values for April are in bold type. (e.g. 12F on April 1, 1923 is lowest for any date in April).

     

    DATE ____ High max___ High min _____ Low max ___ Low min ________ Max prec (r) _ Max 2d rain _ Max snow

    Apr 01 ___ 83 1917 ___ 61 2016 _______ 34 1874 ____12 1923 (36) _____1.89 1993 ___ 2.32 1997 ___ 8.5 1924

    Apr 02 ___ 81 1967 ___ 61 1967 _______ 35 1911 ____22 1919 (36 1st) __1.93 1970 ___1.96 1970 ____ 5.5 2018

    Apr 03 ___ 81 1981 ___ 59 1892, 2015 __34 1896 ____24 1954 (43) ____1.90 1983___2.42 2024^____10.0 1915 (10.2 3rd-4th)

    Apr 04 ___ 80 1892 ___ 62 1892 ______ 32 1879 _____20 1874 ________ 1.99 1987 ___2.48 1987 ____ 2.5 1957 _ also 2.37"2d 1876

    Apr 05 ___ 80 1928 ___ 60 1892 ______ 30 1881 _____20 1874 (38) ___ 2.76 1984 ___4.37 1984 ____ 6.5 1944

    Apr 06 ___ 80 2023^___58 2010 ______ 31 1881 _____21 1982 (41) ____ 2.52 1886 ___2.81 1886 ____ 9.6 1982 _ non-rec 3.3",3.1" S 1938 6-7.

    Apr 07 ___ 92 2010 ___ 63 1991 ______ 30 1982 _____21 1982 ________ 1.35 1899 ___2.58 1886 ____ 4.0 2003 _ also 2.50"2d 1958

    Apr 08 ___ 90 1991 ___ 66 1991 _______37 1917,56,2003_25 1982________1.93 1940 ___1.93 1940*___ 4.2 1956 (1.8" S 1916, 3.3" 8th-9th)

    Apr 09 ___ 86 1991 ___ 68 1991 _______39 1885,1982,2003 _25 1977 (44) __ 3.42 1980 ___3.42 1980*___ 6.4 1917 (6.5S 8th-9th) _2.1"S 1942

    Apr 10 ___ 86 1922 ___ 55 1871, 2013 _ 37 1942 _____28 1974,85,97 _____ 4.31 1983 ___4.32 1983 ____ 0.5 1882 _ also 2.72" 2d r 1906

    Apr 11 ___ 84 1955 ___ 61 2017 ______ 38 1882,1918 _24 1909 (39 10th)__1.10 1913 ___4.31 1983**___ 0.4 1918

    Apr 12 ___ 90 1977 ___ 64 2023^______ 35 1874, 1918 _22 1874 ________ 2.12 1933 ___2.13 1933 ____ 2.0 1918 (2.4S 2d) 1.3"S 1940

    Apr 13 ___ 90 2023^___ 67 2023^______ 35 1875, 1940 _22 1874 _______ 1.92 2020 ___2.12 1933**___ 8.7 1875

    Apr 14 ___ 91 2023^___ 70 2023^______ 41 1940, 48 __26 1950 (44 13th) _2.72 1909 ___2.76 1909 ___ 1.9 1950, 1.3 1875 (10.0 2d)

    Apr 15 ___ 87 1941 ___ 67 1941 _______ 41 1885, 1943 _28 1943 _______ 7.57 2007 ___7.57 2007 ____ 0.5 1892 (1.0 2d S) 

    Apr 16 ___ 92 2002 ___ 69 2002 ______39 1872 _____29 1928 ________3.29 1983 ___8.47 2007 ____ Trace 2014^_ also 2.82"R 2018

    Apr 17 ___ 96 2002 ___ 74 2002 ______33 1875 _____27 1875 ________1.59 1873 ___3.29 1983**___ Trace 1935^

    Apr 18 ___ 96 1976 ___ 76 2002 ______32 1875 _____25 1875 ________2.19 1924 ___2.19 1924*____ 3.0 1887

    Apr 19 ___ 92 1976 ___ 68 1976 _______40 1875 _____22 1875 ________ 1.96 1978 ___2.23 1924 ____ 0.8 1983

    Apr 20 ___ 90 1927 ___ 67 1976 ______ 37 1904 _____24 1897 ________ 1.96 1893 ___1.99 1978____Trace 1925,53 _ also 1.96" 2dR 1874

    Apr 21 ___ 87 1923 ___ 60 1923 ______ 40 1940 _____26 1875 ________ 2.28 1991 ___2.78 1901 ___Trace 1928,47

    Apr 22 ___86 1962,73,2001_62 2016 ____40 1873 _____28 1875 ________ 2.45 2012 ___2.67 2012 ___Trace 1929,72

    Apr 23 ___ 86 2007 ___ 60 1926 ______40 1883 _____29 1872 ________ 2.34 2006 ___3.57 2006 ___Trace 1906,30,63,86

    Apr 24 ___ 87 2001 ___ 63 2008 ______44 1883, 1930 _31 1930 ________ 2.17 1968 ___2.57 2006 ___ 0.5 1883

    Apr 25 ___ 91 1915 ___ 58 1979, 82____43 1919 _____29 1919 _________ 1.68 1945 ___2.20 1968 ___ 3.0 1875

    Apr 26 ___ 92 2009 ___ 67 2009 _____ 42 1874 _____31 1919 __________ 1.88 1889 ___2.58 1889 ___Trace 1919_ also 2.54" 2dR 1910

    Apr 27 ___ 92 1915 ___ 61 1949, 2011__ 45 1946 ____36 1932 (48) ____ 2.04 2007 ___3.42 1889 ___Trace 1932,67

    Apr 28 ___ 90 1990,2009_ 69 1990, 2009__41 1898 _____31 1874 (44) ____ 2.74 1980 ___3.07 1980 ___Trace 1874,1931

    Apr 29 ___ 89 1974 ___ 64 2017 _______ 38 1874 _____32 1874 _________ 2.46 2023^___2.85 1980 __ 0.5 1874 _ also 2.54" 2dR 1958

    Apr 30 ___ 91 1942 ____ 63 1903 _______45 1925 _____32 1874 _________ 4.97 2014 ___5.00 2014^ __ 0.0 (no traces)

    -- - - - - - - - - - - - --

    ^ notes above 

    3rd _ Record 2d rain 2.42" 2024 broke record of 2.01" 1917. (April 2-3). 

    6th _ Record high max 2023 (80F) replaces 79F from 1912, 1917 and 1947

    12th _ Record high min 2023 (64F) replaces 58F (1947, 2017)

    13th _ Record high max 2023 (90F) replaces 88F (1977) and min (67F) replaces 61F (1945)

    14th _ Record high max 2023 (91F) replaces 85F (1941) and min (70F) replaces 60F (2019)

    16th _ Trace snowfalls in 1875, 1905, 1935, 1939, 1943, and 2014

    17th _ Trace snowfalls in 1875, 1905, 1928 and 1935.

    29th _ Previous record 0.91" (1909)

    28th-29th _ 2.79" total rain 2023 just below 1980 maximum amount of 2.85"

    29th-30th _ 4.78" two-day rainfall in 2023 after 2.32" fell on 30th (2014 retains both records for 30th).

    __________________________________________________________________________

     

    • Thanks 1
  14. Just a reminder to forecast contest folks, today would normally be deadline at 06z later, but I extended it 24 hours because of the timing of Easter, so pop in on monday and submit a forecast. 

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  15. <<<< ===[]===[] .......... ==== Annual scoring for Jan-Mar 2024 ==== ..........[]===[]=== >>>> 

     

    wxallannj _______________ 196 _184 _242 __ 622 __150 _222 _150 __ 522 _1144 __200 _274 _254 __728_____1872

    rainsucks _______________276 _294 _242 __812__ 153 _180 _148 __ 481 _1293 __ 80 _206 _236 __ 522 _____1815

    DonSutherland1 ________200 _200 _214 __ 614 __ 210 _206 _136 __ 552 _1166 __192 _242 _200 __634 _____1800

    ___ Consensus _________ 182 _154_210 __546 __184_208 _144 __536 _1082 __142 _252 _258 __ 652_____1734

    RJay ____________________197 _200 _185 __ 582 __177 _206 _ 110 __ 493 _1075 __ 172 _225 _217 __ 614 _____1689 (1736)*

    so_whats_happening ___ 178 _162 _224 __ 564 __187 _180 _106 __ 473 _1037 __ 182 _ 206 _248 __636 _____1673 

    hudsonvalley21 _________194 _150 _200 __ 544 __158 _188 _154 __ 500 _1044 __ 116 _206 _278 __ 600 _____1644

    RodneyS ________________114 _152 _196 __ 462 __ 155 _164 _164 __ 483 _ 945 __204 _238 _234 __676 _____ 1621

    BKViking ________________188 _156 _210 __ 554 __126 _184 _120 __ 430 _ 984 __ 144 _ 232 _234__ 610 _____1594

    Tom _____________________132 _100 _158 __ 390 __116 _176 _132 __ 424 _ 814 __ 106 _ 218 _ 238 __ 562 _____1376

    Scotty Lightning ________130 _ 74 _104 __ 308 __ 78 _ 196 _152 __ 426 _ 734 ___128 _216 _282 __ 626 _____1360

    wxdude64 _______________84 _ 88 _152 __ 324 __130 _ 150 _108 __ 388 _ 712 __ 168 _222 _242 __ 632 _____1344

    Roger Smith _____________130 _108 _ 82 __ 320 __158 _169 _118 __ 445 _ 765 ___ 86 _ 194 _156 __ 436 _____ 1201

    Normal __________________ 80 _ 50 _ 94 __ 224 __ 78 _ 170 _102 __ 350 _ 574 ___ 128 _226 _272 __ 626 _____1200

     

    Stormchaser Chuck (2/3)_68 _98 _128 __ 294 __ 110 _ 00 _ 00 __ 110 __ 404 __ 62 _ 190 _ 136 __ 388 _____ 792

    Rhino16 (2/3) ____________ 50 _ 22 _ 36 __ 108 __ 103 _118 _ 56 __ 277 __ 385 __ 48 _ 158 _ 156 __ 362 _____ 747

     

    * (note: tracking RJay raw score before Feb late penalty of 47 pts ... at current scoring, would not affect ranks)

     

    Persistence _____________222 _212 _252 __ 686 __ 10 _144 _ 74 __ 228 _ 914 ___ 00 _ 096 _ 180 __ 276 ____ 1190

    -----------------------------------

     

     

    Best forecasts

     

    * tied wins (one per * ) ^ 3 forecasters tied (plus Consensus and normal -- SEA for 2024-03) 

     

    FORECASTER ___________DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west___ TOTAL 

    wxallannj ________________0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 2*___0 ____ 1 ______ 0 

    rainsucks ________________2 ___ 3 ___ 2 ____ 2 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 1 _ Feb 

    DonSutherland1 _________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    ___ Consensus _________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 _____ 0 

    RJay _____________________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1^ ____1 ______ 1 _ Mar 

    so_whats_happening ____0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*____ 0 ______ 0 

    hudsonvalley21 _________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*____ 0 ______ 0 

    RodneyS ________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1*___ 0 ____ 1 ______ 1 _ Jan

    BKViking ________________ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______0 

    wxdude64 _______________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 1 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 0 

    Tom _____________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 0  

    Scotty Lightning _________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    Roger Smith _____________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ______ 0 

    Normal __________________0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1^____ 0 ______ 0 

    Stormchaser Chuck _____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1*___ 0 ____0 ______ 0 

    Rhino16 _________________ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 ____ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ____ 0 ______ 0 

     

    EXTREmE  FORECAST  REPORT 

    so far, a total of 16 qualified (14 for warmest, 2 for coldest) ... Jan 2-2, Feb 8-0, Mar 4-0. 

    * tied for a win or loss, scores adjusted in final col.

    FORECASTER _______________ Jan _ Feb _ Mar __ TOTAL __ adj for ties

    rainsucks ____________________ 2-0 _ 4-0 _ 2-0 ___ 8-0

    wxdude64 ___________________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    DonSutherland1 ______________0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    Scotty Lightning _____________ 0-0 _ 2*-0_0-0 ___ 2-0 ___ 1.5 - 0

    RodneyS _____________________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    hudsonvalley21 ______________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    wxallannj _____________________0-0 _ 1*-0_ 0-0 ___ 1-0 ___ 0.5 - 0

    ___ Consensus _______________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 ___ 1-0

    Roger Smith __________________0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-1 ___ 1-1

    RJay _________________________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-2 ___ 1-2

    BKViking _____________________ 0-0 _ 0-1 _ 0-0 ___ 0-1

    Stormchaser Chuck __________ 0-2 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-2

    Tom, Rhino16, swh ______________0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 ___ 0-0

     

  16. On 03-29-1945 it was also 86F at BOS, 87F at PhL, and 90F at BWI (or nearby as it's their official record). DCA was 92F in 1907 but it could have been 90-91 there in 1945 also (IAD record is 1998 so probably period doesn't extend back to 1945 there). Albany's record was 85F in 1946 which was just about as hot late in month. It must have generated a lot of talk back then when two consecutive years had notably warm months (march).

    • Thanks 1
  17. I would guess probably about 80-82 at location of JFK, if they could have taken the reading, it looks like a WSW flow which probably explains PVD getting to 90F. It had been very mild for weeks all over the country (and in southern Ontario) so there was probably no snow south of Lake Superior since early in the month. 

    • Thanks 1
  18. Well it was 86 NYC for a monthly record on same day (1945, tied in 1998 on 31st). 

    Believe it or not, average daily high for March 16 to April 15 of 1945 (31 days) was 68.8, a degree warmer than May and actually warmer than any 31-day interval until May 10 to June 10 of same year. The interval June 1 to 6 was particularly cold setting a lot of low temperature records. 

  19. As of 4:30 climate report, 0.65" (incl .06" yesterday) at NYC takes 2024 past 4 and 5 (1876, 1953) into fourth place at 8.89" with some more to come? But 1-3 are probably safe now (all above 10"). 

  20.  

     

    Final Scoring for March 2024

     

    Forecaster _______________________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_cent_c/e__DEN_PHX_SEA_west___ TOTAL

     

    Anomalies (est) __________________+4.3_+5.3_+3.7 ____+5.0_+3.2_+2.8 ___ ___ ____-0.2 _-1.2 _+0.1

     

    RJay ______________________________ 66 86 _ 54 _ 206 _ 80 _ 96 _ 94 _ 270 _476 _ 96 _ 92 _ 98_ 286 ___ 762

    DonSutherland1 ___________________84 _ 90 _ 84 _ 258 _ 90 _ 72 _ 62 _ 224 _ 482 _ 94 _ 84 _ 98 _ 276 ___ 758

    wxallannj __________________________76 _ 66 _ 96 _ 238 __ 56 _ 80 _ 84 _ 220 _ 458 _ 88 _ 98 _ 68 _ 254 ___ 712

     

    ___ Consensus _____________________70 _ 54 _ 88 _ 212 _ 64 _ 70 _ 80 _ 214 _ 426 _  86 _ 94 _100 _ 280___ 706

     

    rainsucks __________________________92 _100 _64 _ 256 _ 50 _ 76 _ 92 _ 218 _ 474 46 _ 96 _ 88 _ 230 ___ 704 

    Roger Smith _______________________86 _ 84 _ 50 _ 220 _ 60 _ 74 96 _ 230 _ 450 __66 _ 96 _ 90 _ 252 ___ 702

    Tom _______________________________ 70 _ 56 _ 90 _ 216 __ 70 _ 72 _ 82 _ 224 _ 440 _ 64 _ 58 _ 86 _ 208 ___648

    hudsonvalley21 ____________________ 68 _ 52 _ 76 _ 196 _ 54 _ 62 _ 76 _ 192 _ 388 _ 78 _ 74 _ 96 _ 248 ___ 636

    so_whats_happening _______________56 _ 50 _ 86 _ 192 _ 88 _ 52 _ 46 _ 186 _ 378 _ 88 78 _ 86 _ 252 ___ 630

    BKViking ___________________________ 58 _ 40 _ 74 _ 172 _ 40 _ 58 _ 68 _ 166 _ 338 _ 86 _ 74 _ 96 _ 256 ___ 594 

    RodneyS ___________________________ 46 _ 44 _ 76 _ 166 _ 26 _ 44 _ 70 _ 140 _ 306 __94 _ 94 _ 56 _ 244 ___550 

    Scotty Lightning ____________________34 _ 14 _ 46 _ 094 _ 20 _ 66 _ 84 _ 170 _  264 _ 86 _56 98_ 240 ___ 504

    wxdude64 __________________________30 _ 22 _ 60 _ 112 __ 18 28 _ 34 __080 _ 192 __98 _ 92 _70 _260 ___ 452  

    Normal ______________________________14 _ 00 _ 26 _ 040 _ 00 _ 36 _ 44 _ 080 _ 120 __ 96 _76 _ 98 _ 270 ___ 390

     

    Persistence (Feb 2024) _____________98 _ 78 _ 94 _ 270 _ 00 _ 72 _ 72 _ 144 __ 414 _ 00 _ 46 _ 96 _ 142 ___ 556

    ==================================

     

    Extreme forecast report

    DCA, NYC _ wins for rainsucks and losses for RJay

    BOS, ORD, DEN, PHX, SEA _ do not qualify

    ATL _ A win for RJay and a loss for Roger Smith 

    IAH _ A win for Roger Smith 

     

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