SouthWake33

5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Perhaps I've been reading things incorrectly, but I thought precip was arriving in Wake County around 6-7AM and lasting for 6-7 hours.  That would have it ending around 1PM.

Has the timing shifted?  or amounts decreased?

Grit posted euro details from 12z that indicated roughly 12 hours of snowfall for RDU...7 to 7.  

2 minutes ago, Poimen said:

That's the end of the run. Will have to come back at 0Z to see if it's the same. 

2 minutes ago, Poimen said:

That's the end of the run. Will have to come back at 0Z to see if it's the same. 

Thanks.  Look forward to seeing what future runs bring!

1 minute ago, Poimen said:

The above image is the 18Z RGEM. Wow if in the ballpark. 

Thanks for posting!  Does the precip progress further east with time or stay mostly confined to the western half of the state?  

Can someone post the snow map from the 12z GFS?

13 minutes ago, Red1976Red said:

Thanks!

28 minutes ago, Red1976Red said:

Is there a key for precip amounts for this map that can be posted?

1 minute ago, Regan said:

Jonathan Wall

Thanks

8 minutes ago, Regan said:

JW says: Because the band that will move through upon exit will be massive with 15:1 or higher rates. A quick 2-4” in just a couple hours

Who is JW?

Flakes making it to the ground in Cary near Trader Joes

32 minutes ago, PGAWx said:

RAH upping totals a bit. 

I haven’t seen the update.  What did they increase it to?

26 minutes ago, PackWxMan said:

I'll go ahead and say it:

I am thinking 1-2 for Raleigh will be the high end here.

Interesting.  What changed your thinking since last night?

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Congrata NENC amd SEVA.. Hammered

 

 

Quite a West trend compared to 18z.

2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

I just don’t see how the meso models are going to be correct here when none of the globals are coming around to them.

I hear you CR, but just last year we had a storm where some group of the globals showed snow for our parts right up to go time while the mesos showed the snow being 50-100 miles west of here...I’m sure you remember which won out there.

15 minutes ago, packbacker said:

Eastern NC hit hard on the Euro.  3-6" across eastern NC (east of 95).  Looks like 2" gets back to 95 and flizzard over ColdRain's house.

Hey Pack...are those numbers based on 10:1 or something higher based on the cold?

Noticing what I assume must be the effects of CAD...18 degrees here in Cary while it’s 25 in Boone and 28 at Kure Beach.  

Can anyone post a QPF map from the euro or the ensembles?

2 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

that is further north...

The map is through 12/29.  I wonder what it would look like if it was through 1/2.  

Anybody seen Jon?  

1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

Do we have any big Whiskey, Scotch, or bourbon fans around here? I have recently gotten into trying out some good liquors for great taste.

I've gotten into bourbon lately and have enjoyed Blade and Bow.  It's hard/impossible to find in NC though.  Weller 12 year is supposedly from the same mash as Pappy 23 year which is supposedly one of the best ever.  Let me know if you have any recommendations.

Enjoy it through August, then I'm ready for cooler temps.

100/70 in Cary currently with heat index of 109

I won't be in the path of totality, but will be sitting on the beach...Kure Beach, NC

Yep, looks like 25-50 miles south.  Another 50-75 would be ideal.  Trends on GFS definitely positive last few runs.

A mix of euro and gfs would be a good solution for a lot of us imo.  At 120 hrs they are fairly similar to one another.  GFS was about 50 miles further south with the southern wave and the high pressure was slightly stronger.  Beyond 120hrs the euro has a strong phase while the gfs keeps the streams separate.  Is the euro biased toward phasing?

3 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said:

Step in the right direction. Slower with the system coming out of Texas. It's just not cold enough though. Rain for everyone outside of the mountains.

Are you able to see what happens between 144 and 168?  I'm assuming the cold doesn't get in here quick enough.  From a timing standpoint the storm comes through almost 48 hours earlier on the euro compared to the gfs.