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Posts posted by biodhokie
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1 minute ago, alexderiemer said:
I get the horrible feeling there's going to be so many unnecessary deaths from complacency from this.
And it will be so frustrating to hear "well you didn't warn us hard enough!" when they barely escape with their lives.
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I want the option where we get finally get our cake, only to find out it's carrot cake.
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Winds ripping, getting power flickers in downtown silver spring.
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3 minutes ago, high risk said:
Is there a box out?? I haven't seen one....
No, just a pity MD.
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Tornado Warning VAC047-061-121900- /O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0037.220912T1837Z-220912T1900Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 237 PM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... South central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Central Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 300 PM EDT. * At 237 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Culpeper, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Bealeton around 300 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Brandy Station, Elkwood and Remington. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3847 7791 3853 7794 3857 7777 3848 7774 TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 266DEG 12KT 3851 7789 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ JMG
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Looking more and more like the HRRR is going to win out.
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I'm ready to be whelmed.
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Nice shower. Dropping enough rain to obscure objects about 1.5 miles away in Bethesda.
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Just pouring rain and constant T&L in downtown silver spring
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We have a pity meso.
Mesoscale Discussion 1655 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 PM CDT Fri Aug 05 2022 Areas affected...southeast and eastern VA...MD...DE Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 051837Z - 052030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered gusts primarily ranging from 45-60 mph are possible with the stronger storms. The wet microbursts will be capable of isolated pockets of wind damage. DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows convective initiation has recently ensued across southeast VA and it becoming imminent southeast of D.C. as of 230 EDT. Surface conditions are very warm and humid with temperatures rising into the lower 90s with mid-upper 70s dewpoints. Modifying forecast soundings indicates around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE is located over eastern VA northward through the Chesapeake Bay/Delmarva vicinity. The ample buoyancy and high PW (2 inches) amid a weak wind profile supports a pulse-thunderstorm threat this afternoon into the early evening. Strong to locally severe gusts (45-60 mph) are probable with the stronger wet microbursts, and localized pockets of wind damage will likely accompany these stronger gusts. Small to marginally severe hail (0.5 to 1.0 inch in diameter) may occur with the stronger updraft pulses through the late afternoon. ..Smith/Hart.. 08/05/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 37377859 39427699 39347590 38777510 38407508 37797547 36587668 36427791 36677856 37377859
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At least getting lots of water down in Bethesda.
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6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:
Just the other day didn't Potomac get hit pretty hard?
Fairly sure there was just the one on the 12th which most everyone got some action (that cell was a big boy). I think there was another storm that came through last week but it did the same thing, I was roaming around setting up for the cell to come through and watched it just turn into a rain shower as it got close to 270. That also goes without saying the cells that do the standard DC split.
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I don't know what microclimate there is where the MoCo cell is, but cells going through that area recently start dying crossing the Potomac there unless it's a mothership of a cell.
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Both cells in Leesburg and Warrenton seem to be just raining lightning bolts.
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11 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:
I’m a homeowner! Any general advice from all the old pros?
Make sure to deep fry the turkey OUTSIDE the house come Thanksgiving.
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1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said:
When’s the “September Cooldown Likely Ahead” thread coming out?
November.
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The joys of being on the fringes of a meso/box, I am prepared to be whelmed.
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The lightening display on the back side is one hell of a treat ngl.
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It's green. Ooh boy.
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Already seeing mammatus clouds on the leading edge here in Tysons.
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TD 9/Ian Banter
in Tropical Headquarters
Posted
As car-centric the country is, at bare minimum if you're tight, I'm sure you could evac slightly inland to a parking garage to get height. Sure it'd be really terrifying to be in a car with the winds but the water will kill you faster in your home rather than being 3-5 stories up in a parking garage in land. And yes, there are always some that physically can't evac (e.g. the elderly) but those that make the conscious decision to not leave but have the means to because "X storm wasn't so bad, so this one won't be either" or "the forecasters were wrong about X storm in my backyard that one time, so they're going to be wrong this time" I have very little empathy for.