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biodhokie

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Posts posted by biodhokie

  1. 5 minutes ago, Trueshot104 said:

    I'm a weenie like the rest of you. That being said, if you're really claiming that everyone deserves what they have coming, it's well documented that evacuation is hugely impacted by income inequality: 

    https://par.nsf.gov/servlets/purl/10204514

    In short, there are a lot of poor people who either don't have relatives to stay with, the financial means to up end and move (I mean, a hotel room is a huge chunk of salary for some, etc). Sure, if you're well off and chose to stay, sorry pal. But for a lot, it just isn't an option or at the least, a very hard and grey decision to make. 

    All that to be said, holy moly this is one hell of a storm. 

     

    As car-centric the country is, at bare minimum if you're tight, I'm sure you could evac slightly inland to a parking garage to get height. Sure it'd be really terrifying to be in a car with the winds but the water will kill you faster in your home rather than being 3-5 stories up in a parking garage in land. And yes, there are always some that physically can't evac (e.g. the elderly) but those that make the conscious decision to not leave but have the means to because "X storm wasn't so bad, so this one won't be either" or "the forecasters were wrong about X storm in my backyard that one time, so they're going to be wrong this time" I have very little empathy for.

  2. 1 minute ago, alexderiemer said:

    I get the horrible feeling there's going to be so many unnecessary deaths from complacency from this.
     

    And it will be so frustrating to hear "well you didn't warn us hard enough!" when they barely escape with their lives.

    • Like 2
  3. Tornado Warning
    VAC047-061-121900-
    /O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0037.220912T1837Z-220912T1900Z/
    
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
    237 PM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022
    
    The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a
    
    * Tornado Warning for...
      South central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
      Central Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
    
    * Until 300 PM EDT.
    
    * At 237 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
      was located near Culpeper, moving east at 15 mph.
    
      HAZARD...Tornado.
    
      SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
    
      IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown,
               flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
               shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur.
               Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is
               likely.
    
    * This dangerous storm will be near...
      Bealeton around 300 PM EDT.
    
    Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Brandy
    Station, Elkwood and Remington.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
    floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
    mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
    and protect yourself from flying debris.
    
    &&
    
    LAT...LON 3847 7791 3853 7794 3857 7777 3848 7774
    TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 266DEG 12KT 3851 7789
    
    TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
    MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
    
    $$
    
    JMG
    • Like 2
  4. We have a pity meso.

    mcd1655.gif

    Mesoscale Discussion 1655
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       0137 PM CDT Fri Aug 05 2022
    
       Areas affected...southeast and eastern VA...MD...DE
    
       Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 
    
       Valid 051837Z - 052030Z
    
       Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
    
       SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered gusts primarily ranging from
       45-60 mph are possible with the stronger storms.  The wet
       microbursts will be capable of isolated pockets of wind damage.
    
       DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows convective initiation
       has recently ensued across southeast VA and it becoming imminent
       southeast of D.C. as of 230 EDT.  Surface conditions are very warm
       and humid with temperatures rising into the lower 90s with mid-upper
       70s dewpoints.  Modifying forecast soundings indicates around 3000
       J/kg MLCAPE is located over eastern VA northward through the
       Chesapeake Bay/Delmarva vicinity.  The ample buoyancy and high PW (2
       inches) amid a weak wind profile supports a pulse-thunderstorm
       threat this afternoon into the early evening.  Strong to locally
       severe gusts (45-60 mph) are probable with the stronger wet
       microbursts, and localized pockets of wind damage will likely
       accompany these stronger gusts.  Small to marginally severe hail
       (0.5 to 1.0 inch in diameter) may occur with the stronger updraft
       pulses through the late afternoon.
    
       ..Smith/Hart.. 08/05/2022
    
       ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
    
       ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...
    
       LAT...LON   37377859 39427699 39347590 38777510 38407508 37797547
                   36587668 36427791 36677856 37377859 
  5. 6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

    Just the other day didn't Potomac get hit pretty hard? 

    Fairly sure there was just the one on the 12th which most everyone got some action (that cell was a big boy). I think there was another storm that came through last week but it did the same thing, I was roaming around setting up for the cell to come through and watched it just turn into a rain shower as it got close to 270. That also goes without saying the cells that do the standard DC split.

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